国内国际双循环下我国各行业技术含量的测算及其分解  

Estimation and Decomposition of Technology Content in Various Industries in China under the Dual Circulation of Domestic and International Markets

作　　者：陈昌兵[1] CHEN Changbing(Institute of Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100836)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院经济研究所,北京100836

出　　处：《经济纵横》2024年第11期64-82,F0002,共20页Economic Review Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金专项项目“中国贸易投资开放发展:基本规律、宏观效应与‘双循环’新发展格局构建”(编号:72141309)的成果。

摘　　要：根据技术含量工序测算法、基于经合组织国家间投入产出表(ICIO)调整缩并,本文构建了测算国内国际双循环下我国各行业技术含量框架。由技术含量结构性分析可知:我国第一产业各行业技术含量较高,但呈现结构性向下调整;第三产业各行业技术含量虽然不高,却呈现结构性较强的向上调整;第二产业各行业出现轻微向下调整。我国各行业技术含量主要由国内循环决定,且主要由国内循环中间品的技术含量和国内循环中劳动过程技术进步共同决定;同时,技术总含量主要由国内循环中间品的技术含量和国内循环中劳动过程的技术进步共同决定。由我国各行业技术含量增长性分析可知:我国产业技术含量增长主要是由国内循环中的中间品技术含量增长推动,产业技术总含量增长主要是由国内循环推动,且技术总含量的增长贡献主要来自中间品技术含量增长。因此,应充分发挥国内国际双循环作用,提高我国行业技术含量及其增长率,推动经济高质量发展。Based on the estimation method of technology content in the production process and the InterCountry Input-Output tables(ICIO)of member countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development(OECD),this paper builds a framework for estimating the technology content of various industries in China under the dual circulation of domestic and international markets.The structural analysis of technology content shows that the technology content in China's primary industries is high,while it presents a declining trend.Although the technology content in tertiary industries is low,it demonstrates a strong upward trend.The technology content in secondary industries showcases a slightly downward trend.The technology content of various industries in China is mainly determined by domestic circulation,especially the technology content of intermediate products and the technological progress of labor processes in domestic circulation.The total technology content is mainly determined by the technology content of intermediate products and the technological progress of labor processes in domestic circulation.The growth of technology content in China's industries is mainly driven by the growth of technology content of intermediate products in domestic circulation.The growth of total technology content is mainly driven by domestic circulation,especially of the growth of technology content in intermediate products.Therefore,we should fully leverage the dual circulation of domestic and international markets to improve the technology content of China's industries and its growth rate and promote high-quality economic development.

关 键 词：国内国际双循环 技术含量生产工序测算法 神经网络模型 结构性效应 增长性效应 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济]