碳排放权交易对中国低碳经济转型的影响——基于能源消费与研发创新的中介视角  

The impact of carbon emissions trading on the transformation of China’s low-carbon economy:Based on the intermediary perspective of energy consumption and R&D innovation

作　　者：刘宇轩 田泽[1] LIU Yu-xuan;TIAN Ze(School of Business,Hohai University,Changzhou 213000,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏常州213000

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2024年第12期230-236,共7页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(21FJYB047);中央高校科研业务资助项目(B210207018)。

摘　　要：基于2008—2018年30个省份的面板数据,以碳排放权交易试点政策为准自然试验,通过构建固定效应双重差分模型研究其“减碳增绩”效果。研究发现,碳排放权交易政策同时实现了环境效益和经济效益,即发挥显著的“减碳增绩”效果,并且经过动态效应检验、安慰剂检验等依旧稳健。进一步地,异质性分析发现碳排放权交易的政策效果在重产业地区中表现得更加明显。机制检验证实,碳排放权交易主要通过调整能源消费结构实现“减碳”,通过促进研发创新实现“增绩”,促进中国低碳经济转型。研究结论进一步丰富了碳排放权交易政策效应的研究,对中国低碳经济转型、实现“双碳”目标具有现实意义。Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2008 to 2018,and taking the carbon emission trading pilot policy as the natu⁃ral experiment,the effect of“reducing carbon and increasing performance”was studied by constructing a fixed-effect difference-indifferences model.The study found that the carbon emission trading policy had achieved both environmental benefits and economic benefits,that was,it had played a significant“reducing carbon and increasing performance”effect,and it was still stable after dynam⁃ic effect tests and placebo tests.Further,the heterogeneity analysis found that the policy effect of carbon emission trading was more ob⁃vious in the heavy industry area.The mechanism test confirmed that carbon emission trading mainly achieved“reducing carbon”by ad⁃justing the energy consumption structure,and“increasing performance”by promoting R&D innovation,to promote the transformation of China’s low-carbon economy.The research conclusions further enriched the research on the effect of carbon emission trading poli⁃cies,and had practical significance for the transformation of China’s low-carbon economy and the realization of the“dual carbon”goal.

关 键 词：碳排放权交易 低碳经济转型 双重差分模型 能源消费 研发创新 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F124[经济管理—世界经济] F832.5