政府培训对洪灾风险区农户防灾减灾意愿与行为影响研究  

The Impacts of Government Training on Farmers’Willingness and Behavior of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation in Flood Risk Areas

作　　者：王智 张枫琬 刘邵权[1] 徐定德 WANG Zhi;ZHANG Fengwan;LIU Shaoquan;XU Dingde(Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences and Ministry of Water Resources,Chengdu 610041,China;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China;College of Management of Sichuan Agricultural University,Chengdu 611130,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院、水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,四川成都610041 [2]中国科学院大学,北京100049 [3]四川农业大学管理学院,四川成都611130

出　　处：《灾害学》2025年第1期36-41,共6页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目“地震高风险区聚落农户避灾准备行为决策及其驱动机制研究”(41801221)。

摘　　要：面对洪灾威胁,采取有效的防灾减灾行为能够保障农户的生命财产安全,政府培训是促进农户主动采取防灾减灾行为的重要举措。该研究以四川省洪灾风险区540户农户为调查对象,实证检验了政府培训、培训广度对农户采取防灾减灾行为的影响以及农户防灾减灾意愿的中介效应。结果表明,随着农户参与政府培训以及培训广度的增加,其越有可能采取防灾减灾行为,政府培训及培训广度每增加一个单位,农户采取防灾减灾行为的可能性相应增加10.68%和4.19%。农户拥有谋生技能状况和受灾经历会对其采取防灾减灾行为造成正向显著影响。农户防灾减灾意愿在政府培训、培训广度影响农户采取防灾减灾行为方面发挥了中介效应,中介效应占比分别为15.17%和12.29%。In face of the threat of flood,effective disaster prevention and reduction behavior can guarantee the life and property safety of farmers,and government training is an essential measure to promote farmers’initiative to take disaster prevention and mitigation.Based on survey data from 540 farmers in flood risk areas in Sichuan Province of China,the effects of government training and training breadth on farmers’behavior of disaster prevention and mitigation and the mediating effects of farmers’willingness to disaster prevention and mitigation are empirically tested.The results show that with the increase of farmers’participation in government training and the breadth of training,farmers are more likely to take disaster prevention and reduction behaviors.With each increase of one unit in government training and training breadth,the probability of farmers taking disaster prevention and reduction behaviors increases by 10.68%and 4.19%respectively.Farmers’livelihood skills and disaster experience have a significant positive impact on their disaster prevention and reduction behavior.Farmers’willingness to disaster prevention and mitigation played a mediating role in the government training and training breadth affecting farmers’disaster prevention and reduction behavior,accounting for 15.17%and 12.29%,respectively.

关 键 词：洪灾风险 政府培训 防灾减灾意愿和行为 中介效应 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] X915.5