创新型省份建设、区域数智化和区域创新生态系统竞争力——影响机制与准自然实验  

Innovative Province Construction,Regional Smartization,and Competitiveness of Regional Innovation Ecosystems——Mechanism of Influence and Quasi-Natural Experiments

作　　者：吕鲲 潘均柏 林志森 李北伟[4] LYU Kun;PAN Jun-bai;LIN Zhi-sen;LI Bei-wei(Business School,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China;School of Economics,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730099,China;School of Business,East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai 201400,China;School of Business and Management,Jilin University,Changchun 130022,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,宁波315211 [2]兰州大学经济学院,兰州730099 [3]华东理工大学商学院,上海201400 [4]吉林大学商学与管理学院,长春130022

出　　处：《研究与发展管理》2024年第6期137-150,共14页R&D Management

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目“‘双碳’目标下‘技术—经济—区域’信息融合的创新生态系统构建及其协同演化研究”(22CTQ028)。

摘　　要：基于区域创新生态位态势理论测算区域创新生态系统竞争力,并基于2009—2021年我国30个省份(港澳台及西藏除外)的面板数据,在“创新型省份建设试点—数智化—区域创新生态系统竞争力”的框架下采用空间双重差分模型和双重机器学习模型进行因果推断,研究结论表明:创新型省份建设和数智化均对区域创新生态系统竞争力具有显著的正向影响;创新型省份建设的邻地效应能够显著促进区域创新生态系统竞争力,数智化对区域创新生态系统竞争力具有负向邻地效应;创新型省份建设能够通过促进区域数智化,间接促进区域创新生态系统的创新主体、创新支撑、创新资源、创新活力、创新环境等环节的竞争力;创新型省份建设驱动区域数字化和智能化,进一步提升区域创新生态系统竞争力的机制路径不仅在处置组有效,也同时在控制组有效。经验证,“创新型省份建设→区域数智化→区域创新生态系统竞争力”是可行且具备可推广意义的机制路径,同时实证过程中发现的“数智鸿沟”、萌芽型省份政策效应不显著等问题也为相关政策的改进和变革提供了理论指导。Based on the theoretical framework of regional innovation niche status,it evaluated the competitiveness of regional innovation ecosystems.Using panel data from 30 provinces in China(excluding Hong Kong,Macao,Taiwan,and Xizang)spanning 2009 to 2021,it applied a spatial difference-in-differences model and double machine learning model to perform causal inference within the framework of“Innovative Province Construction Pilot-Smartization-Regional Innovation Ecosystem Competitiveness.”The conclusions are as follows:both the construction of innovative provinces and smartization have a significant positive impact on the competitiveness of regional innovation ecosystems;the spillover effect of innovative province construction can significantly enhance regional innovation ecosystem competitiveness,however smartization has a negative spillover effect;innovative province construction indirectly fosters competitiveness in innovation entities,support structures,resources,innovation dynamism,and the environment by promoting regional smartization;the mechanism through which innovative province construction drives regional digitalization and smartization,thereby enhancing the competitiveness of regional innovation ecosystems,proves effective in both treatment and control groups.Empirical validation confirms the feasibility and scalability of the“Innovative Province Construction→Regional Smartization→Regional Innovation Ecosystem Competitiveness”pathway,while issues such as the“smartization divide”and the negligible policy effects in emerging provinces offer theoretical insights for policy refinement and reform.

关 键 词：创新型省份建设 数智化 区域创新生态系统竞争力 空间双重差分模型 双重机器学习模型 

分 类 号：F270[经济管理—企业管理]