贸易政策不确定性何以影响个体健康?——来自CHNS数据的经验证据  

Trade Policy Uncertainty and Individual Health:Empirical Evidence from CHNS Data

作　　者：周默涵 薛浩婷 唐学朋 余林徽[1] ZHOU Mohan;XUE Haoting;TANG Xuepeng;YU Linhui(Zhejiang University)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学经济学院

出　　处：《经济学（季刊）》2024年第6期2041-2057,共17页China Economic Quarterly

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72273127);国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BJY011)的资助。

摘　　要：本文将中国加入WTO作为一个准自然实验,利用中国健康与营养调查数据研究发现,贸易政策不确定性下降对个体健康产生了显著不利影响,主要表现为短期不适症状和罹患长期慢性疾病的可能性增加,这种负面健康效应主要表现在非国企密集地区,且在低技术行业、低技术工人和大龄劳动力之间更为显著。劳动力资源再分配是导致样本中整体健康水平下降的原因之一。除了延长工人工时,贸易政策不确定性下降还会通过增加心理压力来降低个体健康水平。Taking China's accession into WTO as a quasi-natural experiment with data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey,we find that declining trade policy uncertainty has a significant negative impact on individual health,mainly manifested in short-term discomfort and long-term chronic diseases.This negative effect is more pronounced in non-state-owned enterprise intensive regions and low-skill industries,and is stronger among low-skill workers and older workers.The labor reallocation effect contributes to the overall decline in health in the sample.In addition to lengthening working hours,declining trade policy uncertainty also reduces individual health through increased psychological stress.

关 键 词：贸易政策不确定性 个体健康 工作时间 

分 类 号：R195[医药卫生—卫生统计学] F752.0[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]