基于GM(1,1)模型的农产品冷链物流需求预测研究——以福安市为例  

Research on Agricultural Products Cold Chain Logistics Demand Prediction Based on GM (1,1) Model——Take Fu an City as an Example

作　　者：涂文菁 TU Wen-jing(Ningde Institute of Technology,Fu’an 355000,China)

机构地区：[1]宁德职业技术学院,福建福安355000

出　　处：《物流工程与管理》2024年第8期52-55,共4页Logistics Engineering and Management

摘　　要：农产品冷链运输决定了福安农产品销售的市场半径,是福安市农产业进一步发展的关键。文中选取福安市茶叶、水果、水产品和肉类共四类农产品作为预测样本数据,运用GM(1,1)模型预测福安市2023-2032年主要农产品冷链物流需求数量和需求趋势,并结合福安市农产品冷链物流发展现状提出四点发展建议。The cold chain transportation of agricultural products determines the market radius of agricultural products sales in Fu’an,which is the key of the further development of agricultural industry in Fu’an.This paper selects four types of agricultural products of tea,fruit,aquatic products and meat in Fu’an as prediction sample data,uses GM(1,1)model to predict the demand quantity and demand trend of major agricultural products in Fu’an in 2023-2032,and puts forward four development suggestions in combination with the development situation of agricultural products cold chain logistics in Fu’an.

关 键 词：GM(1 1) 农产品 冷链物流 需求预测 

分 类 号：F324.6[经济管理—产业经济]