城市智慧治理模式能否促进城市内涝灾害韧性提升?——基于国家智慧城市试点政策的准自然实验  

Can an Urban Smart Governance Model Promote Urban Waterlogging Disaster Resilience?A Quasi-natural Experiment Based on the National Smart City Pilot Policy

作　　者：杨凯 刘丁蓉 孙仕 YANG Kai;LIU Dingrong;SUN Shi(School of Public Administration,Guangdong University of Finance and Economics,Guangzhou 510320,China)

机构地区：[1]广东财经大学公共管理学院,广东广州510320

出　　处：《南京财经大学学报》2024年第6期23-33,77,共12页Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目“数据要素驱动乡村产业高质量发展路径及差异化调控研究:生产要素协同视角”(23YJC790078);广东省自然科学基金面上项目“双碳目标下基于大数据的广州市国土空间碳排放模拟和减排路径研究”(2023A1515010560)。

摘　　要：智慧城市建设为城市系统应对内涝灾害提供了新的思路与路径。基于2005—2022年我国148个城市的面板数据,将国家智慧城市试点政策作为准自然实验,采用双重差分模型实证探讨城市智慧治理模式对城市内涝灾害韧性的影响效应及其内在机制。研究结果表明,城市智慧治理模式对城市内涝灾害韧性具有显著的赋能效应。随着城市智慧治理模式的不断推进,该赋能效应呈稳步增强趋势,并在不同韧性维度、城市类型与城市发展特征等条件下呈现显著异质性。信息技术人才、科技支持力度与数字产业繁荣在赋能过程中发挥显著的中介作用。另外,本城市的智慧治理模式对周边城市内涝灾害韧性的赋能效应随地理距离扩大呈现递减趋势,当距离超过200km时,赋能效应消失。The construction of smart cities has provided new ideas and paths for urban systems to cope with waterlogging disasters.Based on the panel data of 148 cities in China from 2005 to 2022,this study uses the national smart city pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment to empirically analyze the effect of the urban smart governance model on the urban waterlogging disaster resilience and the internal mechanism.A difference-in-differences(DID)model is employed,and the results show that the urban smart governance model significantly improves urban waterlogging disaster resilience,and this effect increases as the construction of a smart city progresses.However,this effect shows substantial heterogeneity based on resilience dimension,city type,and city development characteristics.The proficiency of information technology workers,the strength of scientific and technological support,and the prosperity of the digital industry play a significant intermediary role.The positive effect of the urban smart governance model on urban waterlogging disaster resilience in neighboring cities diminishes as geographic distance increases,and the positive effect disappears when this distance exceeds 200km.

关 键 词：城市智慧治理模式 城市内涝灾害韧性 智慧城市建设 双重差分模型 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学] X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]