中巴经济走廊产业耦合协调性及其空间演变  

Coordination of industrial coupling and its spatial evolution in China-Pakistan economic corridor

作　　者：王迪 周健 王夏鑫 WANG Di;ZHOU Jian;WANG Xiaxin(School of Mathematics and Statistics,Kashi University,Kashi 844000,China;Research Center of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor,Kashi University,Kashi 844000,China)

机构地区：[1]喀什大学数学与统计学院,新疆喀什844000 [2]喀什大学中巴经济走廊研究中心,新疆喀什844000

出　　处：《高师理科学刊》2025年第1期24-31,共8页Journal of Science of Teachers'College and University

基　　金：国家民委“一带一路”国别和区域研究中心“中巴经济走廊研究中心”高质量发展课题重点课题(ZBJJZL2023B03)——中巴经济走廊产业协同发展水平测度及提升策略研究。

摘　　要：构建中国“一带一路”沿线省(自治区、直辖市)与巴基斯坦产业发展水平综合评价指标体系,基于产业发展数据,采用熵值法确定指标权重,计算各省(自治区、直辖市)的产业发展综合评价得分.引入耦合协调模型分析中巴经济走廊产业耦合协调程度,并进一步运用莫兰指数模型探索其空间演变特征.实证分析结果表明,2014—2021年中巴经济走廊产业耦合协调度整体呈现波动上升的趋势,但大部分地区仍处于轻度失调和中度失调状态;在空间上,各省(自治区、直辖市)的耦合协调度存在空间正相关关系,表现为“高-高”和“低-低”的空间聚集分布特征,且空间差异大,呈现出“东南强,西北弱”的空间格局.研究结果为深入推进中巴经济走廊建设,提升区域产业发展水平,促进中巴两国经济发展提供了重要参考.The comprehensive evaluation index system for the industrial development level of provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities directly under the central government)of China along“the Belt and Road”and Pakistan has been constructed.Based on the industrial development data,the entropy method is used to determine the weights of the indexes,and the comprehensive evaluation scores for the industrial development of each province(autonomous region,municipality directly under the central government)are calculated.The coupling coordination model is introduced to analyze the degree of industrial coupling coordination of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor,and the Moran index model is further used to explore its spatial evolution characteristics.The empirical analysis results show that the overall degree of industrial coupling coordination of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor shows a fluctuating upward trend from 2014 to 2021,but most regions are still on the verge of mild imbalance and moderate imbalance.In terms of space,there is a spatial positive correlation between the coupling coordination degree of provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities directly under the central government),manifested as a spatial clustering distribution characteristic of“high-high”and“low-low”,and there are significant spatial differences,present a spatial pattern of“strong in the southeast and weak in the northwest”.The research provides important references for deepening the construction of the China Pakistan economic corridor,improving the level of regional industrial development,and promoting the economic development of China and Pakistan.

关 键 词：一带一路 巴基斯坦 产业协同 熵值法 耦合协调度 空间相关性 

分 类 号：O29[理学—应用数学] F49[理学—数学]