“站点与站点层面”轨道交通客流影响因素的研究综述  

Review of Research on Influencing Factors of Rail Transit Ridership at Station-to-Station Level

作　　者：吴子超 孙一民[1,2,3] 王成芳 WU Zichao;SUN Yimin;WANG Chengfang(School of Architecture,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China;State Key Laboratory of Subtropical Building and Urban Science,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China;Guangdong Engineering Technology Research Center for Sustainable Architecture and Urban Design,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China)

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学建筑学院,广东广州510640 [2]亚热带建筑与城市科学全国重点实验室,广东广州510640 [3]广东省可持续建筑与城市设计工程技术研究中心,广东广州510640

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2025年第2期57-67,共11页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：广东省自然科学基金项目(2024A1515011998);亚热带建筑与城市科学全国重点实验室自主研究课题(2022KA01)。

摘　　要：“站点与站点层面”的客流影响因素研究是目前“站点层面”研究的重要补充。通过对“站点与站点层面”研究的变量特征、建模方法、分析结果等方面进行归纳,阐述了该层面研究以站点间OD客流为因变量、出行起讫点站域环境为自变量,构建多层次线性回归或决策树模型的研究特征,以及OD客流与其影响因素之间的相关关系。该层面研究能够从出行起讫点产生的“推拉”效应解释客流变化规律的优势,但是对乘客的文化背景、出行意愿、多种交通方式的竞争关系等方面考虑不足,仍需进一步完善变量设计和探索新的研究方法,开展更为深入的研究,为城市轨道交通的客流影响因素研究和规划实践提供学术参考。Research on the influencing factors of ridership at the station-to-station level serves as a critical complement to the research at the station level.The variable characteristics,modeling approaches,and analytical outcomes specific to the research at the station-to-station level were reviewed systematically.The results show that the research at the station-to-station level typically uses inter-station origin-destination(OD)ridership as the dependent variable and the environmental characteristics of the origin and destination stations as independent variables.The research features of multi-level linear regression or decision tree models were built,and the correlation between OD ridership and its influencing factors was discussed.The research at the station-to-station level has the advantage of explaining the change rule of ridership according to the“push-pull”effect generated at the origin and destination stations of travel.However,it fails to consider the passenger’s cultural background,travel willingness,competition between various modes of transportation,and other aspects.Therefore,it is necessary to further improve the variable design,explore new research methods,and carry out more in-depth research,so as to provide an academic reference for the research and planning practice of ridership influencing factors of urban rail transit.

关 键 词：轨道交通 客流 影响因素 站点与站点层面 综述 

分 类 号：U121[交通运输工程] TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]