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作 者:卢飞[1] 魏星宇 陈昊南 LU Fei;WEI Xingyu;CHEN Haonan(College of Air Traffic Management,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)
机构地区:[1]中国民航大学空中交通管理学院,天津300300
出 处:《安全与环境学报》2025年第2期558-571,共14页Journal of Safety and Environment
基 金:国家自然科学基金面上项目(52272356);中央高校基本业务费项目(3122022101);民航安全能力建设项目(ASSA2023/29)。
摘 要:在现有的航班品质监控标准体系中,缺乏对高品质飞行操作的明确界定。为了全面评估航空器着陆姿态品质并量化姿态超限风险,研究构建了综合评价体系,并整合了可视化百分位数法与时间序列相似度理论,涵盖过程指标、结果指标和难度系数指标3个维度。基于航班数据建立了常模,并通过数据分析得出所有样本成绩近似正态分布,表明该体系能有效区分不同民航飞行员着陆操作品质。此外,应用该体系对超限航班进行分析,发现所有超限航班成绩位于常模后0~4%,临界超限航班成绩位于后0~15%,且各权重均通过了敏感性分析,表明了该体系在识别高风险航班和量化超限风险水平方面的有效性,为飞行员技术评估和航空公司飞行安全管理提供了重要技术支持。This paper addresses the absence of well-defined standards for high-quality flight operations within the current flight quality monitoring system by proposing a comprehensive evaluation framework.This framework aims to assess aircraft landing quality and quantify the risks associated with exceeding attitude limits,which are essential for improving flight safety.By integrating the visual percentile method with time series similarity theory,this approach evaluates three key dimensions:process indicators,outcome indicators,and difficulty coefficients.A reference norm group was established using flight data,enabling a comparative analysis of pilot performance.The analysis confirmed that the sample performances follow an approximately normal distribution,validating the system's effectiveness in distinguishing landing quality among civil aviation pilots.One of the primary contributions of this framework is its capability to enhance the objectivity and accuracy of pilot performance evaluations.By balancing procedural and outcome-based assessments,the framework offers a more comprehensive evaluation of landing quality.The incorporation of difficulty coefficients further enhances the analysis by accounting for the varying complexities of different flight conditions,thereby ensuring a more thorough evaluation process.This multi-dimensional approach captures both the technical accuracy of landings and the broader operational context in which they occur,making it a robust tool for performance evaluation.The system was applied to analyze flights that exceeded attitude limits,yielding significant insights.All flights exceeding limits were found to fall within 0 to 4%of the reference norm group,while borderline over-limit flights ranged from 0 to 15%.Furthermore,all weight factors passed the sensitivity analysis.These results highlight the system's capability to identify high-risk flights and quantify associated risks,offering actionable insights for targeted interventions and improved safety management.In conclusion,this evalu
关 键 词:安全工程 着陆姿态评价体系 常模参照 可视化百分位数 动态时间规整 飞行品质监控
分 类 号:X949[环境科学与工程—安全科学]
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