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作 者:田帅辉 张恒博 TIAN Shuaihui;ZHANG Hengbo(School of Modern Post,Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Chongqing 400065,China;School of Economics and Management,Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Chongqing 400065,China)
机构地区:[1]重庆邮电大学现代邮政学院,重庆400065 [2]重庆邮电大学经济管理学院,重庆400065
出 处:《中国安全生产科学技术》2025年第2期160-167,共8页Journal of Safety Science and Technology
基 金:重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目(22SKGH127、23SKGH420);重庆市技术预见与制度创新专项项目(CSTB2024TFII-OIX0036)。
摘 要:为了提升西部陆海新通道在自然灾害和复杂国际局势下的安全稳定运营能力。采用超图理论构建基于实际线路的物流超网络模型,提出考虑节点特性的非线性负载-容量模型,并从信息论视角提出节点综合影响力指标;根据多式联运特性,设计考虑负载分配优先级的级联失效模型并构建节点状态识别模型,对西部陆海新通道物流网络进行实例仿真。研究结果表明:考虑负载分配优先级后,失效节点数量平均下降17.62%;西部陆海新通道物流网络对关键节点依赖性较强,当节点的容量限制系数为0.6和应急能力系数为1.04时,能显著增强其鲁棒性,提高网络的稳定性和抗风险能力。研究结果可为提升西部陆海新通道物流网络鲁棒性提供参考。To enhance the safe and stable operation capability of the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor under the natural disasters and complex international situation,a logistics hypernetwork model based on the actual routes was constructed using the hypergraph theory.A nonlinear load-capacity model considering the node characteristics was proposed,along with a comprehensive node influence index from the information-theoretic perspective.Based on the characteristics of multimodal transportation,a cascading failure model considering the load distribution priority was designed,and a node state identification model was established to simulate the logistics network of the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor.The results show that after considering the load distribution priority,the number of failed nodes decreases by 17.62%.The logistics network of the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor is highly dependent on the critical nodes.When the node capacity limitation coefficient is 0.6 and the emergency capability coefficient is 1.04,the network robustness is significantly enhanced,improving the stability and risk resistance.The research results can provide a reference for improving the robustness of the logistics network in the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor.
关 键 词:多式联运 西部陆海新通道 超网络 鲁棒性 级联失效
分 类 号:X951[环境科学与工程—安全科学]
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