沥青混合料生产阶段碳排放预测模型构建  

Construction of carbon emission prediction model in asphalt mixture production stage

作　　者：王春红[1,2] 张玉斌 任园[1,2] 邓欣然 索智[3] WANG Chunhong;ZHANG Yubin;REN Yuan;DENG Xinran;SUO Zhi(Anhui Transport Consulting&Design Institute Co.,Ltd.,Hefei 230088,China;Research and Development Center on Technology and Equipment for Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection of Highway Transport,Hefei 230088,China;School of Civil and Transportation Engineering,Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Beijing 102616,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽省交通规划设计研究总院股份有限公司,安徽合肥230088 [2]公路交通节能与环保技术及装备交通运输行业研发中心,安徽合肥230088 [3]北京建筑大学土木与交通工程学院,北京102616

出　　处：《应用化工》2025年第1期93-98,共6页Applied Chemical Industry

基　　金：国家重点研发计划(2021YFB2601204);国家自然科学基金(52078024)。

摘　　要：调研了安徽省六安市A、B两座拌合站夏冬两季4种沥青混合料生产的温室气体排放情况,选用层次分析法分析各个影响因素对沥青混合料生产阶段碳排放当量的影响权重,根据权重大小确定模型建立中需要重点考虑的关键指标,构建基于实测数据的碳排放计算模型,并对模型进行验证。结果表明,碳排放模型计算结果介于传统的理论计算法和定额计算法之间,符合现有的计算规律,具有较高的测算准确性。This study conducted field research on the greenhouse gas emissions of four types of asphalt mixtures produced in summer and winter at two mixing stations A and B in Lu’an City,Anhui Province.The analytic hierarchy process was used to analyze the impact weights of various influencing factors on the carbon emissions equivalent during the production stage of asphalt mixtures.The key indicators that need to be considered in the model establishment were determined based on the weight size,and a carbon emission calculation model based on measured data was constructed and validated.The results show that the carbon emission model established falls between traditional theoretical calculation methods and quota calculation methods,conforms to existing calculation rules,and has high measurement accuracy.

关 键 词：碳排放 计算模型 层次分析法 沥青拌合站 实测值 温室气体 

分 类 号：TQ022.11[化学工程] U416.217[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]