人工智能成为通用技术的理论、市场和社会逻辑——兼论当前人工智能大模型是否存在“泡沫”问题  

The Theory,Market and Social Logic of Artificial Intelligence as a General Purpose Technology:Also on Whether There is a“Foam”in the Current Big Models of Artificial Intelligence

作　　者：丁元竹 DING Yuanzhu(Department of Social and Ecological Civilization,Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C/National Academy of Governance,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]中共中央党校(国家行政学院)社会和生态文明教研部,北京100091

出　　处：《河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2025年第2期28-38,共11页Journal of Hebei University(Philosophy and Social Science)

摘　　要：围绕当前国内外对人工智能是否会产生泡沫的争论,从人工智能的发展现状透视人工智能落地的理论逻辑和商业逻辑,基于“技术—经济周期”理论、“产品市场契合度”理论、技术“社会接受”理论等多个维度对人工智能发展趋势进行分析。面对人工智能的快速发展,要以更加乐观的态度、更加积极的探索、更加主动的有为去创造各种应用场景,使大模型和各种人工智能工具更好落地产业、社会生活、文化以及生态环境保护等领域,使其成为中国式现代化的技术支撑。当前,人们比以往任何时候都需要有更加宽阔的思维、更加坚实的科学技术功底、更加宏观的认识水平看待技术创新、科学进步和经济发展面临的挑战,不断推动中国式现代化行稳致远。Focusing on the current debate on whether artificial intelligence will generate a foam at home and abroad,this paper analyzes the theoretical logic and business logic of artificial intelligence landing from the current development situation of artificial intelligence,and analyzes the development trend of artificial intelligence based on the theory of“technology business cycle”,the theory of“product market fit”,and the theory of“social acceptance”of technology.In the face of the rapid development of AI,it is necessary to create various application scenarios with a more optimistic attitude,more active exploration,and more proactive,so that the big model and various AI tools can be better implemented in all kinds of industries,social life,cultural fields,as well as ecological and environmental protection,so as to make them become the technical support of Chinese-style modernization.Now more than ever,people need to have broader thinking,more solid scientific and technological skills,and a more macroscopic understanding of the current technological innovation,scientific development,and the challenges facing the economy,so as to continuously promote the construction of Chinese-style modernization to a stable and far-reaching future.

关 键 词：大模型落地 理论逻辑 市场逻辑 人工智能现状 

分 类 号：D63[政治法律—政治学]