考虑节日因素的居民出行方式选择行为模型应用  

Application of Residents'Travel Mode Selection Behavior Model Considering Festival Factors

作　　者：聂垚 NIE Yao(Anhui Vocational College of Defense Technology,Lu'an,Anhui 237000,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽国防科技职业学院,安徽六安237000

出　　处：《黑龙江交通科技》2025年第2期106-110,共5页Communications Science and Technology Heilongjiang

基　　金：安徽省高校自然科学研究重点项目“基于SEM-BNM模型的城市轨道交通列车开行方案优化研究”(2024AH050199)资助;安徽国防科技职业学院校级质量工程项目“城市轨道交通行车组织课程建设”(gf2023xxkc05)。

摘　　要：针对居民在节日交通方式选择中缺少租车方式选择项的问题,将居民个体特征、出行特征、租车特征等属性指标作为效用变量,采用离散选择理论的方法构建包含节日时段巢式Logit出行方式选择模型,并将模型用于实例分析结果表明:全年各节日居民交通出行方式选择结果存在较大差异性,元旦节日时间较短其多选择公共交通出行(45.1%),劳动节(36.5%)和国庆节(36.2%)双节假期时间较长,居民出行多选择私家车出行或达到目的地后租车出行,出行目的多为中长距离的旅游,对于交通方式类型选择其更加注重交通自身的舒适性、便捷性和自由性。In response to the problem of residents lacking options for renting a car during holiday transportation,indicators such as individual characteristics of travelers,travel characteristics,and basic attributes of renting a car were used as utility variables.The discrete choice theory was used to construct a nested Logit travel mode selection model that includes holiday periods.The model was applied to case analysis,and the results showed that there were significant differences in residents'travel mode selection during various holidays throughout the year.The New Year's Day had a shorter duration and more people chose public transportation(45.1%),while the Labor Day(36.5%)and the National Day(36.2%)had a longer duration.Residents often chose private cars for travel or rented cars after reaching their destination.The purpose of travel was mostly for medium to long distance tourism,and the results of transportation mode selection paid more attention to the comfort,convenience,and freedom of transportation itself.

关 键 词：巢式LOGIT模型 节假日租车 效用理论 选择行为 

分 类 号：U412[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]