我国省域高等教育与新质生产力的耦合协调研究  

Research on the Coupling and Coordination of Higher Education and New Quality Productive Forces in China Provincial Area

作　　者：王森森 杨军 WANG Sensen;YANG Jun(College of Educational Science,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830017,China;School of Mathematics and Physics,Xinjiang Hetian College,Hetian 848000,China;School of Mathematical Sciences,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830017,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆师范大学教育科学学院,乌鲁木齐830017 [2]新疆和田学院数理学院,和田848000 [3]新疆师范大学数学科学学院,乌鲁木齐830017

出　　处：《重庆高教研究》2025年第2期80-93,共14页Chongqing Higher Education Research

基　　金：全国教育科学规划教育部重点课题“数学探究学习教育教学价值的实现路径研究”(DIA220381)。

摘　　要：高等教育是推动传统生产力向新质生产力跃迁的重要场域,实现高等教育与新质生产力耦合协调是新时代发展的重大命题。在耦合协调机理分析的基础上,基于2012—2022年我国省域面板数据,采用熵权TOPSIS法、耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数法和灰色关联度模型,探讨了高等教育与新质生产力耦合协调的区域差异及其驱动因素。结果表明:从现状看,2012—2022年我国省域高等教育与新质生产力的发展指数均呈上升趋势;东部地区二者发展指数显著领先,中部地区居中,西部和东北地区相对滞后。从耦合协调度看,我国省域高等教育与新质生产力的发展指数也呈梯度上升趋势,在样本期内,省域耦合系统等级均衡性得以改善,实现由“金字塔型”向“橄榄型”转变,不同省域高等教育与新质生产力特征影响下的等级变迁呈现多种发展态势,包括“双元驱动型”“新质生产力主导型”“高等教育主导型”“双元滞后型”。从区域差异看,我国省域高等教育与新质生产力耦合协调的区域差距逐步扩大,其中东部和东北地区的内部差距较大;东部与东北、西部地区的外部差距较大,与中部地区的差距较小;外部差距是造成区域差异的重要来源。从驱动因素看,人才培养和数字生产力是影响我国省域高等教育与新质生产力耦合协调的主要因素,科技创新和科技生产力是次要因素,智能生产力和绿色生产力的影响较小。建议推动高等教育与新质生产力双元驱动,扩大二者的耦合效应;激发区域特色潜能,构建优势互补协同发展格局;释放数字生产力效能,深化人才与技术交互驱动。Higher education is an important field to promote the transition from traditional productive forces to new quality productive forces.To realize the coupling and coordination of higher education and new quality productive forces is an important proposition for the development of the new era.Based on the analysis of the coupling coordination mechanism and the provincial panel data from 2012 to 2022,the regional differences and driving factors of the coupling coordination between higher education and new quality productive forces were discussed by using entropy weight TOPSIS,coupling coordination degree model,Dagum Gini coefficient method and grey correlation degree model.The results show that:From the current situation,the development indexes of higher education and new quality productive forces in China’s provinces are on the rise during 2012-2022;the development index of the eastern region is significantly ahead,the central region is in the middle,while the western region and the northeast region are lagging behind.From the perspective of coupling coordination degree,China’s provincial development index also showed a gradient rise.During the sample period,the level equilibrium of the provincial coupling system was improved,realizing the transformation from the“pyramid”type to the“olive”type.The level change under the influence of different provincial higher education and new quality productive forces characteristics showed a variety of development trends,including“dual driving type”,“new quality productive forces leading type”,“higher education leading type”and“dual lag type”.From the perspective of regional differences,the regional gap of provincial coupling coordination in China has gradually expanded,and the internal gap between eastern and northeast regions is larger;the external gap between the east and the northeast and the west is larger,and the gap between the east and the central region is smaller.The external gap is an important source of regional differences.From the driving

关 键 词：高等教育 新质生产力 耦合协调度 区域差异 驱动因素 

分 类 号：G640[文化科学—高等教育学] F323[文化科学—教育学]