中国省域数字技术与旅游发展互动响应及协同演化研究  

A Research on the Interactive Response and Synergistic Evolution of Digital Technology and Tourism Development in China’s Provincial Administrative Regions

作　　者：冀雁龙 Ji Yanlong(School of Yungangology,Shanxi Datong University,Datong 037009,China;School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830046,China)

机构地区：[1]山西大同大学云冈学学院,山西大同037009 [2]新疆大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《旅游论坛》2025年第1期17-31,共15页Tourism Forum

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目“环境规制对中国经济平衡发展的影响:基于地区、产业、城乡视角的研究”(71964032)资助。

摘　　要：数字技术与旅游业的协同演进是实现经济高质量发展的内在要求。文章从条件、过程和结果3个维度分析了数字技术与旅游发展协同机制,对2013-2021年中国省域的数字技术与旅游发展水平进行测度,使用面板向量自回归模型探究二者的互动响应关系,并利用耦合协调度模型和空间β收敛探究二者协同的时空演化特征。结果表明:研究期内,旅游发展水平高于数字技术水平,两者的发展水平均呈现上升态势,且空间分异明显;数字技术与旅游发展存在动态互动关系,二者表现为自我增强的特性,并且数字技术是旅游发展的单向动力,且动态响应作用仅在短期内显著;数字技术与旅游发展过程维度交互程度较低,但稳步上升,且空间依赖性较强,呈现“东高西低-两极分化”的空间格局;数字技术与旅游发展的耦合协调度存在绝对空间β收敛,西部地区收敛最快,加入控制变量后,二者耦合协调度呈现显著条件空间β收敛特征,中部地区收敛最快。The Synergistic evolution of digital technology and tourism industry is an inherent requirement for achieving high-quality economic development.This paper analyzes the synergistic mechanism of digital technology and tourism development from three dimensions:conditon,process and outcome.It then meas-ures the level of digital technology and tourism development in China’s provinces from 2013 to 2021.The panel vector autoregression(PVAR)model is used to explore the interactive response relationship between the two while the coupling coordination degree model and spatialβ-convergence are used to investigate the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the synergy.The results indicate that,during the study period,the level of tourism development is higher than that of digital technology,with both showing an upward trend and significant spatial differentiation.There is a dynamic interactive effect between digital technology and tourism development,with digital technology acting as a one-way driving force for tourism development.The dynamic response is only significant in the short term.The overall coordination degree between digital technology and tourism development is relatively low but steadily increasing,with strong spatial dependence,presenting a spatial pattern of“high in the east,low in the west,two-tiered-differenti-ation”.The coupling coordination degree of digital technology and tourism development exhibits absoluteβ-convergence,with the west region converging the fastest.After adding control variables,the coupling coordination degree of the two shows significant conditional spatialβ-convergence,with the central region converging most rapidly.The study suggests that the eastern region should strengthen the synergistic advantages of digital technology and tourism development,while the central region can promote their coordinated development by leveraging strategies such as ecological protection.Meanwhile,the western and northeastern regions should enhance policy support and resource sharing to

关 键 词：数字技术 旅游发展 动态响应 耦合协调 空间β收敛 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]