网络视角下人口流动空间分异及影响因素分析  

Spatial Differentiation and Influencing Factors of Population Mobility from the Perspective of Network

作　　者：张乃丹 ZHANG Nai-dan(Institute of Global Urban Civilization,Southern University of Science and Technology,Shenzhen,518055;School of Statistics,Chengdu University of Information Technology,Chengdu,610103)

机构地区：[1]南方科技大学全球城市文明典范研究院,深圳518055 [2]成都信息工程大学统计学院,成都610103

出　　处：《中国劳动》2025年第1期16-30,共15页China Labor

基　　金：南方科技大学全球城市文明典范研究院开放性课题,项目编号:IGUC24C007;成都信息工程大学科研基金资助成果“区域经济协同发展背景下人口流动网络特征、规律和影响研究”,项目编号:KYTZ2022104。

摘　　要：基于网络视角,利用2011-2017年全国流动人口动态监测数据(CMDS),构建省际二维人口流动矩阵和人口流动网络,经分析发现,人口流动遵循“胡焕庸线”的人口分布格局,表现出明显的空间指向性和稳定性,具有链式流动特征,具体表现在省际人口流向存在东西部显著差异,同时中西部地区邻近省市间人口流动也在不断演化。进一步地,基于QAP方法分析,证实了人口的链式流动出于流动选择的路径依赖,体现了人口流动的累积效应;另外,经济越发达,高铁交通基础设施越完善,会显著增强各省市间人口流动规模。因此,为了促进区域城市群协调发展,应统筹省际人口流动,优化资源配置。From the perspective of network,this paper uses the China Migrants Dynamic Survey from 2011 to 2017 to construct a two-dimensional inter provincial population mobility matrix and population mobility network.The research shows that population flow follows the distribution pattern of“Hu Line”,which has a certain spatial orientation and stability,resulting in continuous migration like the chain.It has also been found that the differences in population flow among provinces in the eastern and western regions,and population mobility between neighboring provinces and cities in the central and western regions is also constantly evolving.Furthermore,based on the QAP analysis,it is confirmed that the chain flow of population is derived from path dependence of mobility choices,reflecting the cumulative effect of population mobility.Moreover,In addition,the more developed the economy and the more complete the high-speed rail transportation infrastructure,the greater the scale of population mobility between provinces and cities.In order to promote the coordinated development of regional urban agglomerations,to coordinate inter provincial population mobility,and optimize resource allocation.

关 键 词：人口流动 网络 异质性 

分 类 号：F24[经济管理—劳动经济]