基于APC模型:中国居民财产安全感的变迁研究  

Research on the Change in Chinese Residents'Sense of Property Security Based on the Age-Period-Cohort Model

作　　者：伍麟 柴梦然 Wu Lin;Chai Mengran

机构地区：[1]武汉大学社会学院

出　　处：《中国社会心理学评论》2024年第1期112-137,244,共27页Chinese Social Psychological Review

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大研究专项“加强社会心理服务体系建设”(项目编号:18VZL009)的资助

摘　　要：财产安全感属于社会心态基础层面的核心需要之一,构成个体开展社会活动的原初动力。本文基于我国CSS 2006~2017跨度十余年的四期调查数据,构建年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型,对居民财产安全感的变化趋势及其影响因素进行探索。研究发现,居民财产安全感在十余年内呈现单调上升趋势。2013年是一个上涨速度的拐点,一方面反映了党的十八大以来实施全面深化经济体制改革和推进经济法治建设的方针为财产安全提供了制度和理论保障;另一方面反映了伴随着反腐倡廉建设的不断深入,在心理层面增强了群众的财产安全感。基于年龄-时期-队列差异角度的分析表明,随年龄增长财产安全感呈现平缓上升状态,快速的社会变迁对于财产安全感形成与维持产生了较强的队列分化作用。其中,收入是主导城乡居民财产安全感队列差异的重要因素,受教育程度是解释财产安全感性别差异的核心变量。The sense of security of property is one of the core needs at the basic level of social mentality and constitutes the original motivation for individuals to engage in social activities.This research is based on survey data of four phases of the Chinese Social Survey(CSS)in China spanning over a decade from 2006 to 2017,and constructs an Age-Period-Cohort(APC)model to explore the changing trends and influencing factors of residents‘sense of property security in China.The results show a monotonic upward trend in residents'perceptions of property security over the past decade.The year 2013 was a turning point in the growth rate,reflecting,on the one hand,the implementation of the policy of comprehensively deepening the reform of the economic system and developing the economic legal system since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China,which provides institutional and conceptual guarantees for property security.On the other hand,with the deepening of the construction of the anti-corruption and integrity campaign,the public's sense of property security is being strengthened at the psychological level.Analyses from the perspective of age-cohort differences show that the sense of property security increases moderately with age and that large social changes have a strong cohort-differentiating effect on the formation and maintenance of the sense of property security.Of these,income is an important factor that dominates the difference between urban and rural cohorts in terms of their sense of property security,and educational attainment is the central variable explaining gender differences in the sense of property security.

关 键 词：财产安全感 年龄-时期-队列模型 教育 收入 

分 类 号：B842[哲学宗教—基础心理学] F124.7[哲学宗教—心理学]