基于手机信令大数据的武汉城市圈日常人口流动特征及其影响因素  

Characteristics and influencing factors of daily population flow in the Wuhan Metropolitan Region based on mobile signaling data

作　　者：邓慧琳 林赛南 DENG Huilin;LIN Sainan(School of Urban Design,Wuhan University/Hubei Habitat Environment Research Center of Engineering and Technology,Wuhan 430072,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学城市设计学院/湖北省人居环境工程技术研究中心,武汉430072

出　　处：《资源科学》2025年第2期332-343,共12页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42471276;42171205)。

摘　　要：【目的】人口流动是各类要素流动的重要载体,从区县尺度探讨武汉城市圈人口流动的微观格局和内在机理,对于推动区域一体化、实现地区高质量发展具有重要意义。【方法】基于手机信令大数据、高德地图POI数据和社会经济数据,采用社会网络分析方法和QAP回归模型,分析区县尺度下2020年武汉城市圈日常人口流动的时空特征,系统剖析人口流动网络的结构特征及影响因素。【结果】(1)从时空特征来看,武汉城市圈在工作日的区县间人口流动比周末更为频繁和活跃。日常人口流动主要集中于同一地级市内部的区县之间,同时也形成多个跨市区县的小规模流动循环;(2)武汉城市圈中东部区县频繁参与跨区域的人口流动和社会互动,对人口流动网络的发展和运作起着核心支撑作用;(3)行政边界对日常人口流动的制约效应最为显著,这与不同区县间在行政管理制度和文化差异上的壁垒密切相关。区县之间人均GDP、教育资源和医疗服务水平的差异是驱动人口流动的关键因素。【结论】各区县应结合自身的经济发展特征和资源禀赋,通过打破行政壁垒、完善教育和医疗基础设施、激发经济活力等措施,优化城市圈资源配置,加快一体化进程,缓解“极化”现象,推动区域高质量发展。[Objective]As an important carrier of the flow of various factors,population flow plays an important role in enhancing the competitiveness of cities and promoting the integration of urban areas.From the perspective of districts and counties scale,it is of great significance to accurately grasp the micro-pattern and internal mechanism of population flow in the Wuhan Metropolitan Region for promoting regional integration and realizing high-quality regional development.[Methods]Taking the Wuhan Metropolitan Region as the research object and based on the mobile signaling big data,point of interest(POI)data and social and economic data in November 2020,the social network analysis method and quadratic assignment procedure(QAP)regression model were applied to analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of daily population flow in the Wuhan Metropolitan Region at the districts and counties scale.The study also identified the structural characteristics of the population flow network and related influencing factors.[Results](1)From a spatiotemporal perspective,population flows between districts and counties within the Wuhan Metropolitan Region demonstrate significantly higher frequency and intensity on weekdays compared to weekends.The daily population movement patterns are predominantly characterized by intra-city flows within individual prefecture-level cities,while simultaneously exhibiting multiple small-scale inter-city circulation loops across administrative boundaries.(2)The central and eastern districts and counties of the Wuhan Metropolitan Region frequently participated in the cross-regional population flow and social interaction,and played a core supporting role in the development and operation of the population flow network.(3)The barrier effect of administrative boundaries was most obvious in daily population movement,which is also affected by institutional and cultural barriers within the urban circle.Differences in per capita GDP,educational resources and medical services among counties were key factors

关 键 词：人口流动 社会网络分析 手机信令数据 QAP回归 武汉城市圈 

分 类 号：G63[文化科学—教育学]