民族地区农业农村现代化发展路径研究——基于PEEST框架下的fsQCA法分析  

Research on the Development Path of Agricultural and Rural Modernization in Ethnic Regions--fsQCA-based Analysis in PEEST Framework

作　　者：白科 俞颖奇[1,2] Bai Ke;Yu Yingqi(School of Economics,Minzu University of China,Beijing 100081,China;School of Economics and Trade,Minzu Normal University of Xingyi,Xingyi,Guizhou 562400,China)

机构地区：[1]中央民族大学经济学院,北京100081 [2]兴义民族师范学院经济贸易学院,贵州兴义562400

出　　处：《西部经济管理论坛》2025年第2期29-41,共13页West Forum on Economy and Management

基　　金：中央民族大学研究生科研实践项目资助“‘双碳’目标下我国西部地区环境与经济双向驱动发展研究”(BZKY2024037);贵州省教育厅普通本科高校科学研究项目(青年项目)“乡村振兴背景下贵州省茶旅产业融合的高质量发展研究”(黔教技[2022]394号)。

摘　　要：作为乡村振兴战略实施的总目标,实现农业农村现代化是决定各民族地区实现共同富裕和共同走向社会主义现代化的关键环节。文章基于PEEST模型框架,以我国83个民族自治区下辖地级市和民族自治州发展为案例,利用模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法,探讨政治、经济、环境、社会、技术因素对民族地区农业农村现代化发展的联动效应及路径选择。研究结果表明,民族地区农业农村现代化发展的组态路径有5条,分别是“组织引领下输血式的发展”“政策与技术支持保护生态环境的发展”“政策与技术支持完善基础设施的发展”“保护生态环境与完善基础设施协同驱动的发展”和“技术要素改革与创新的发展”;政治因素和技术因素在促进民族地区农业农村现代化发展过程中发挥重要作用。通过多元视角系统归纳民族地区农业农村现代化发展的差异化发展路径,有利于提高民族地区的经济现代化发展并为处于不同发展条件的民族地区实现乡村振兴和共同富裕提供政策建议。As a key objective of the rural revitalization strategy,achieving the modernization of agriculture and rural areas is essential for determining the common prosperity and socialist modernization of ethnic regions.Using the PEEST model framework and focusing on the development of 83 ethnic autonomous regions and areas in China as a case study,this research employs the Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis(fsQCA)method to examine the interactive effects and pathways of political,economic,environmental,social,and technological factors on the modernization of agriculture and rural areas in these regions.The findings reveal five distinct paths for the development of agricultural and rural modernization in ethnic regions:“Development under organizational guidance with blood transfusion,”“Development with policy and technological support to protect the ecological environment,”“Development with policy and technological support to improve infrastructure,”“Coordinated development driven by ecological environment protection and infrastructure improvement,”“Development driven by technological innovation and reform”.Furthermore,political and technological factors play critical roles in driving the development of agricultural and rural modernization in ethnic regions.By systematically summarizing the various development paths of agricultural and rural modernization in these regions,this study provides valuable insights into improving the economic modernization of ethnic areas and offers policy recommendations for promoting rural revitalization and common prosperity,tailored to the specific development conditions ethnic regions.

关 键 词：民族地区 农业农村现代化 PEEST模型 fsQCA 

分 类 号：F127.8[经济管理—世界经济] F327.8