大型活动突发公共卫生风险应对能力评估指标体系的构建研究  

Study of construction of index system for evaluation of response capanility for public health risk in mass gathering

作　　者：丁凡[1] 曲凯 王琦 金连梅[1] Ding Fan;Qu Kai;Wang Qi;Jin Lianmei(National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,Public Health Emergency Center,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control,Beijing 100013,China)

机构地区：[1]传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,中国疾病预防控制中心卫生应急中心,北京102206 [2]北京市疾病预防控制中心,北京100013

出　　处：《中华流行病学杂志》2025年第3期527-532,共6页Chinese Journal of Epidemiology

基　　金：公共卫生应急反应机制的运行(102393220020010000017)。

摘　　要：目的构建大型活动突发公共卫生风险应对能力评估指标体系,旨在系统性地衡量、评价及提升相关机构大型活动突发公共卫生风险应对的准备和响应等综合能力。方法以卫生应急管理理论为基础,结合已参与的国内外大型活动保障实践,构建理论框架。遴选相关领域权威专家,采用德尔菲法进行多轮专家咨询构建评估指标体系。结果选取12名国内相关领域权威专家参与调查,专家积极系数为100.0%,权威系数平均值为0.89。二级指标最终Kendall's W值为0.408,三级指标为0.416(均P<0.001)。最终构建了由4个一级指标(监测、风险评估、实验室支持和应对处置)、15个二级指标和75个三级指标组成的评估指标体系。结论本研究构建的评估指标体系,可为评估大型活动主/承办方的突发公共卫生风险应对能力提供参考。Objective To construct an index system for the systematic evalaution of response capabiity for public health risk in mass gathgering and improvemet of preparedness and level of public health risk response.Methods Based on the theory of health emergency management and the public health practice to support domestic and international mass events,the theoretical framework was constructed.Authoritative experts in relevant fields were invited to conduct multiple rounds of expert consultation for the construction of an evaluation index system,with Delphi method.Results In this study,12 authoritative experts in relevant professional fields were selected to participate in the survey,with an expert response rate of 100.0%and an average authority coefficient of 0.89.The final Kendall's W coefficient was 0.408 for the second-level indicators,and 0.416 for the third-level indicators(all P<0.001).Finally,an evaluation index system consisting of 4 first-level indicators(surveillance,risk assessment,laboratory support and response),15 second-level indicators,and 75 third-level indicators was constructed.Conclusion The evaluation index system constructed in this study can provide a reference for evaluation of the response capability for the public health risk in mass gathering.

关 键 词：大型活动 风险 应对能力 

分 类 号：F27[经济管理—企业管理]