工业能源消费、工业增加值与碳排放的关系分析  

Analysis of the Relationship Among Industrial Energy Consumption,Industrial Value Added and Carbon Emissions

作　　者：黎彬 LI Bin(Shanghai Minhang District Environmental Monitoring Station,Shanghai 201199,China)

机构地区：[1]上海市闵行区环境监测站,上海201199

出　　处：《中国资源综合利用》2025年第3期248-250,共3页China Resources Comprehensive Utilization

基　　金：上海市生态环境局青年科研项目(沪环青科[2022]第9号)。

摘　　要：基于上海市闵行区2006—2022年的相关统计数据,核算闵行区的碳排放量,并利用Eviews软件分析工业能源消费、工业增加值与碳排放的关系。结果表明:闵行区的工业能源消费、工业增加值与碳排放之间存在长期均衡关系;工业能源消费与碳排放之间存在双向的格兰杰因果关系;碳排放的变动贡献中,自身贡献最大,其次是能源消费。Based on the relevant statistical data from Minhang district,Shanghai city from 2006 to 2022,the carbon emissions are calculated.Using Eviews software,the co-integration,Granger causality test and variance decomposition are used to measure industrial energy consumption,industrial value added and carbon emissions in Minhang district.The results indicate that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between industrial energy consumption,industrial added value,and carbon emissions in Minhang district;there is a bidirectional Granger causality relationship between industrial energy consumption and carbon emissions;among the changes in carbon emissions,self contribution is the largest,followed by energy consumption.

关 键 词：能源消费 增加值 碳排放 协整分析 

分 类 号：F425[经济管理—产业经济] X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]