我国现代物流与供应链2024年发展回顾与2025年展望  

Review of the Development of Modern Logistics and Supply Chain in China in 2024 and Prospects for 2025

作　　者：蔡进[1] CAI Jin(China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing,Beijing 100045,China)

机构地区：[1]中国物流与采购联合会,北京100045

出　　处：《物流研究》2025年第2期1-6,共6页Logistics Research

摘　　要：2024年是实现“十四五”规划目标任务的关键一年,我国现代物流与供应链发展总体平稳,稳中有进,高质量发展扎实推进,呈现一些新的特点:一是我国物流需求总体稳定;二是市场规模继续平稳增长;三是社会物流成本稳步下降;四是新质生产力亮点突出;五是物流出海步伐有所加快;六是企业市场主体发展壮大;七是物流基础设施加大投入;八是绿色低碳物流受到重视;九是治理体系建设取得积极成效;十是行业政策环境持续改善。展望2025年及未来一段时期,我国现代物流和供应链有望呈现以下趋势:一是市场运行保持温和增长;二是提质增效降本走向深入;三是供应链升级加快提速;四是韧性安全水平持续提升;五是数智化转型提档升级;六是结构调整力度有所加大;七是产业集群枢纽联动发展;八是绿色低碳物流走向实践;九是从业人员权益得到保障;十是行业治理更加规范有序。2024 is a crucial year for achieving the target tasks of the“14th Five-Year Plan”.The development of modern logistics and supply chain in China is generally stable with some progress,and high-quality development promoted solidly,showing some new characteristics:①China’s logistics demand was generally stable;②The market size continued to grow steadily;③The cost of social logistics has declined steadily;④The highlight of new quality productive forces was obvious;⑤The pace of logistics overseas development has accelerated;⑥Market players have grown stronger;⑦Investment in logistics infrastructure increased;⑧Green and low-carbon logistics received attention;⑨Positive results were achieved in building a governance system;⑩The industry policy environment continued to improve.Looking forward to 2025 and the future period,China’s modern logistics and supply chain is expected to show the following trends:①Market operation will maintain moderate growth;②The trend of improving quality,increasing efficiency,and reducing costs will go deeper;③The supply chain upgrade will speed up;④The resilience and safety level will continue improve;⑤Transformation of digital intelligence will upgrade;⑥The intensity of structural adjustment will increase;⑦Industrial clusters and logistics hubs will achieve interconnected development;⑧The practice of green and low-carbon logistics will carry out;⑨The rights and interests of employees will be protected;⑩Industry governance will be more standardized and orderly.

关 键 词：现代物流 供应链 物流需求 社会物流成本 展望 

分 类 号：F259[经济管理—国民经济]