航班延误扰动下空铁联运超网络可靠性分析  

Reliability Analysis of Air-rail Hypernetwork Under the Disturbance of Flight Delays

作　　者：徐凤 尹嘉男[3] 杨文东[3] 贾萌 XU Feng;Yin Jia’nan;YANG Wendong;JIA Meng(School of Management Engineering,NanJing Institute of Technology,NanJing 211167,China;School of Traffic Engineering,NanJing Institute of Technology,NanJing 211167,China;College of Civil Aviation,NanJing University of Aeronauticsand Astronautics,NanJing 211106,China)

机构地区：[1]南京工程学院管理工程学院,江苏南京211167 [2]南京工程学院交通工程学院,江苏南京211167 [3]南京航空航天大学民航学院,江苏南京211106

出　　处：《复杂系统与复杂性科学》2025年第1期50-58,共9页Complex Systems and Complexity Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(52002178,52102379);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(24YJA630111);江苏省社会科学基金(21GLB009)。

摘　　要：为探寻航班延误扰动下空铁联运网络的可靠性变化规律,通过构建空铁联运加权超网络模型,剖析航班延误对空铁联运超网络的扰动机理,仿真分析了偶发延误与多发延误2种情景下东航空铁联运超网络的可靠性。结果表明:偶发延误情景下,东航空铁联运超网络的可靠性较强,单个机场节点失效对联运网络效率存在有限影响,对网络连通性的影响甚微;多发延误情景下,东航空铁联运超网络在随机性扰动攻击下的可靠性较强,而在选择性扰动攻击下的可靠性较弱;无论是偶发延误还是多发延误,无论是随机性扰动攻击下还是选择性扰动攻击,东航空铁联运超网络的可靠性均优于其机场网络。增扩联运城市数量、加强枢纽节点的保护、加强信息共享等措施有利于保障空铁联运网络的可靠运行。In order to study the reliability of air-rail network under the disturbance of flight delays.The air-rail weighted hypernetwork model is constructed in this paper,and the disturbance mechanism of flight delays to the air-rail hypernetwork is analyzed.The reliability of China Eastern Airlines’air-rail hypernetwork under occasional delay scenario and multiple-delay scenario is simulated and analyzed respectively.The results show that:In the case of occasional delay scenario,the reliability of the air-rail hypernetwork is strong,and the failure of a single airport node has only a limited impact on the efficiency of air-rail hypernetwork,and the impact on the network connectivity is minimal.In the case of multiple-delay scenario,the reliability of the China Eastern Airlines air-rail hynetwork is strong under the random disturbance attack mode,but weak under the selective disturbance attack mode.No matter it is under occasional delay scenario or multiple-delay scenario,no matter under the random disturbance attack mode or the selective disturbance attack mode,the reliability of China Eastern Airlines air-rail hypernetwork is superior to its airport network.Measures such as increasing the number of cities,strengthening the protection of hub nodes and strengthening information sharing are conducive to ensuring the reliable operation of air and rail intermodal transport network.

关 键 词：可靠性 空铁联运超网络 航班延误 扰动机理 

分 类 号：U15[交通运输工程] N94[自然科学总论—系统科学]