高中生未来职业规划的发展趋势:基于潜变量增长模型的分析  

The Developmental Trajectories of Future Occupation Planning Among Chinese High School Students:A Latent Growth Model

作　　者：吴鹏[1,2] 王宇亮 蒋星雨 WU Peng;WANG Yuliang;JIANG Xingyu(Department of Psychology,Hubei University,Wuhan 430062;Research Center of Mental Health Education of Hubei University,Wuhan 430062)

机构地区：[1]湖北大学心理学系,武汉430062 [2]湖北大学心理健康教育研究中心,武汉430062

出　　处：《心理与行为研究》2025年第1期115-122,共8页Studies of Psychology and Behavior

基　　金：国家社科基金教育学青年课题(CBA150156)。

摘　　要：为揭示高中生未来职业规划发展趋势,探究公正世界信念的影响,通过2年共5次问卷调查,对1646名高中生进行测试。潜变量增长模型分析发现:(1)高中生未来职业探索的发展趋势呈两阶段性,即先下降后增长;(2)高中生未来职业投入的发展趋势可分为2个亚组,高投入下降组和低投入增长组;(3)一般公正世界信念可以预测高中生未来职业探索的发展速率,个人公正世界信念可以预测高中生未来职业投入的发展趋势。研究结果揭示了公正世界信念对高中生未来职业规划发展轨迹的预测作用,验证了公正世界信念理论,对高中职业规划教育具有重要启示。The present research employed a longitudinal,five-wave design to examine the developmental trajectories of future occupation planning.Furthermore,the current research examined the influence of just world belief.The sample comprised 1646 high school students,who were followed up for two years from their first to third year of high school.The just world belief was initially assessed at Time 1,and future occupation planning was evaluated from Time 1 to Time 5.The results of the unconditional latent growth model indicated that the high school student’s future occupation commitment was heterogeneous,with both decline and rise groups.Furthermore,the future occupation exploration among high school students exhibited a piecewise trend.A significant decline was observed during the first and second years of high school,while a significant increase was observed during the second and third years of high school.The results of the conditional latent growth model demonstrated that:1)personal just world belief could predict the subgroup of future occupation commitment development trajectories among high school students;2)general just world belief could both predict the initial levels and the rates of development of future occupation exploration among high school students.The present study has revealed the developmental trajectories of future occupation planning among high school students.The findings indicate that the just world belief plays an important role in the development of future occupation planning among high school students,which support the just world theory.

关 键 词：未来职业规划 潜变量增长模型 发展趋势 高中生 公正世界信念 

分 类 号：B849[哲学宗教—应用心理学]