近十年中国碳排放与经济增长的脱钩效应  

Decoupling effect of carbon emission and economic growth in China in recent ten years

作　　者：杨丹荔 陈海玲 唐洪松 YANG DanLi;CHEN Hailing;TANG Hongsong(School of Economics and Management,Neijiang Normal University,Neijiang,Sichuan 641100,China;Tuojiang River Basin High-quality Development Research Center,Neijiang Normal University,Neijiang,Sichuan 641100,China)

机构地区：[1]内江师范学院经济与管理学院,四川内江641100 [2]内江师范学院沱江流域高质量发展研究中心,四川内江641100

出　　处：《内江师范学院学报》2025年第4期64-69,共6页Journal of Neijiang Normal University

基　　金：四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地资源型城市发展研究中心项目(ZYZX-ZD-2302);四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地四川矿产资源研究中心项目(SCKCZY2024-YB011);内江师范学院2023年校级青年项目(2023QN17);四川省“大学生创新创业训练计划”项目(X2024087)。

摘　　要：探究碳排放与经济发展的脱钩情况,能够为我国实现“双碳”目标提供有利参考.在分析我国2011—2021年碳排放特征的基础上,利用Tapio脱钩弹性指标分析我国碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系,研究结果表明:(1)近十年我国碳排放量呈波动上升的趋势,其中山东省碳排放量年均最高达867.58 Mt,内蒙古人均碳排放量最高达0.27 Mt/万人;(2)生产和供应业的碳排放量所占比重已超50%,是我国碳排放的主要社会经济部门;(3)我国碳排放与经济增长呈较为稳定的脱钩状态,且碳排放与经济增长的脱钩主要是能源消费与经济脱钩造成的,但碳排放量与能源消费量的脱钩弹性整体高于碳排放与GDP的脱钩弹性,说明我国以煤炭为主的能源消费结构和碳减排技术水平在一定程度上影响了碳减排的效率和效果.Finding out about the decoupling of carbon emission and economic development can provide a favorable reference for China to realize the goal of "double carbon".On the basis of analyzing the characteristics of China's carbon emissions from 2011 to 2021,this article used the Tapio decoupling elasticity index to analyze the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth.The results showed that:(1) In the past decade,China's carbon emissions showed a fluctuating upward trend,of which the average annual carbon emissions in Shandong Province reached 867.58 Mt,and the per capita carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia reached 0.27 Mt/ten thousand person;(2) The production and supply industry accounted for more than 50% of carbon emissions,which was the main social and economic sector of carbon emissions in China;(3) China's carbon emissions and economic growth showed a relatively stable decoupling state,and the decoupling of carbon emissions and economic growth was mainly caused by the decoupling of energy consumption and economy,but the decoupling elasticity of carbon emissions and energy consumption was higher than that of carbon emissions and GDP on the whole.It shows that China's coal-dominated energy consumption structure and carbon emission reduction technology level affect the efficiency and effect of carbon emission reduction to some extent.

关 键 词：碳排放 经济增长 脱钩分析 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]