“测谎证据”的概率分析——测谎仪真能测出谎言吗?  

Probability analysis on “lie test result as proof” ——Can the “Lie detector” really detect lies?

作　　者：刘淑环[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国政法大学,北京100088

出　　处：《数理统计与管理》2003年第3期52-55,共4页Journal of Applied Statistics and Management

摘　　要：本文对影响测谎仪测试结果的准确性和可靠性的两个因素———敏感度和特异性进行了概率分析 ,认为二者的技术上条件在现实中很难满足 ,并得出结论This artical makes probability analysis on susceptibility and peculiarity, the two factors which influence on the accuracy and reliability of the lie test evidence. It concluds that it is hard to operate in practice with the technically satisfactory requirment. It also turns out to be undenificial to make use of lie test result as the proof of decision in civil proceedings.

关 键 词：测谎仪 测谎证据 可靠性 全概公式 敏感度 特异性 

分 类 号：TB114.3[理学—概率论与数理统计] D631.2[理学—数学]