Swarm及其平台下建特定民意模型的探讨  

Swarm & Discussion of the Method of Constructing the Special Public Opinion Model

作　　者：罗批[1] 司光亚[1] 胡晓峰[1] 杨镜宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防大学训练模拟中心,北京100091

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2004年第1期5-7,共3页Journal of System Simulation

基　　金：国家863高技术计划(2001AA115120)

摘　　要：Swarm是一个多Agent复杂适应系统(Complex Adaptive Systems---CAS)仿真建模的公共软件平台,它能为仿真调试、运行和结果分析提供标准化的工具包。本文分析了Swarm的理论基础——CAS以及利用Swarm进行建模仿真的一般思路。然后,给出了我国某地区特定民意走势预测分析模型,并对该模型的构建过程进行了分析,试图为研究和使用Swarm提供一条捷径。Swarm is a multi-agent public software platform for the simulation of complex adaptive systems (CAS). This platform reduces researchers workload for establishing artificial worlds, and it is a standard toolkit for simulating, modeling, and analyzing in CAS. In this paper, we first analyze Swarms theory---CAS, and then give out the general procedure of constructing model with it. Moreover, we design a model for forecast & analysis of the special public opinion tendency in the special district of our country, and analyze the process of establishing this model, which will give a short cut for using Swarm.

关 键 词：SWARM 复杂适应系统 特定民意 建模仿真 

分 类 号：E911[军事] TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]