西部地区反贫困与生态环境可持续性研究——以新疆和墨洛地区为例  

Anti-Poverty and Environment Sustainability in West China: A Study for the Hemoluo District

作　　者：郭怀成[1] 张振兴[1] 陈冰[1] 邹锐[1] 张宁[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学环境学院,北京100871

出　　处：《北京大学学报（自然科学版）》2004年第1期144-153,共10页Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis

基　　金：UNDP资助项目 (CPR 96 2 0 2 ) :新疆脱贫与人力资源可持续发展

摘　　要：我国广大西部地区面临着严重的贫困问题和生态环境问题 ,而其贫困也多为环境制约型贫困 ,贫困与生态环境问题往往交织在一起 ,互为因果。对于环境制约型贫困的西部地区 ,只有打破贫困与环境之间的恶性循环 ,建立经济与生态环境的良性循环才是反贫困的根本途径。因此 ,我国西部地区的反贫困与生态环境的可持续性研究尤为重要。本研究以新疆和墨洛地区为案例 ,对反贫困与生态环境可持续性的关系进行了深入的剖析 ,并在此基础上 ,采用不确定性多目标方法 ,构建了和墨洛地区经济与生态环境可持续发展规划模型 ,通过交互式反馈 ,最终得到有效合理的规划方案。这样 ,通过系统分析和建立规划模型从而既定性又定量地进行西部地区反贫困与生态环境可持续性研究.The poverty issue and environment issue are very pressing in west China and these two issues are interlaced each other. The poverty is arose by environment issue mainly. The essential approach of anti poverty is to break the vicious circle between the poverty and environment and harmonize these two issues. So the study of anti poverty and environment sustainability is very important. In this study, the Hemoluo District of Xinjiang, which is key poverty counties listed in the National Anti poverty Plan, is taken as a case to study the relations between anti poverty and environment sustainability. Since the Inexact Multi Objective Planning(IMOP) model can harmonize several objectives, optimize dynamic system and reflect the uncertainty, it is applied to deal with the environmental economic system planning. During the model building, solving and interpreting, interactive adjustment and scenario analysis are applied. Thus through system analysis and IMOP model, the antipoverty and environment sustainability are studied qualitatively and quantitatively.

关 键 词：和墨洛地区 反贫困 生态环境 可持续 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]