中长期电力负荷预测软件包的开发与应用  

Development and Application of Power System Mid-long Term Load Forecasting Software Package

作　　者：虞瑄[1] 程浩忠[1] 游仕洪[1] 王旭[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学电气工程系,上海200030 [2]江苏省电力公司,南京210024

出　　处：《电力系统及其自动化学报》2004年第2期9-12,57,共5页Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目 ( 5 0 1770 17);高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研奖励计划资助

摘　　要：介绍所开发的中长期电力负荷预测软件包及应用。软件包提供了丰富的模型库 ,各模型可单独预测 ,也可选择几种模型进行综合预测 ,既提高了预测精度也增强了软件包在不同类型地区的适用性。软件包界面友好 ,操作方便 ,容错性强 ,提供联机帮助 ,输入输出形式灵活 ,支持打印 。This paper mainly develops a software package for mid-long term load forecasting of power system.This software package provides friendly man-machine interface,online help,and convenient operations to meet requirements.It has flexible output methods such as report forms and graphics and support printing.The load forecasting module consists of many models and each model can be independently used or some of them can be combined for integrated forecasting.The models can be chosen according to different conditions and those results can be analyzed and compared to obtain the final result.This software package has already been applied in Jiangsu power system load forecasting.

关 键 词：电力系统 电网 负荷预测 软件包 数据库管理系统 预测模型库 软件开发 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化] TP311.52[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论]