概率论的发展简史及在医疗领域的简单应用  

The Brief History of the Development of Probability Theory and Its Simple Applications in the Medical Fields

作　　者：胡贵新[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南理工大学数学与信息科学学院,河南 焦作

出　　处：《应用数学进展》2024年第4期1630-1636,共7页Advances in Applied Mathematics

摘　　要：概率论是研究随机现象统计规律性质的学科,历经三百多年的曲折发展,现已形成了一套较为完整的理论体系。本文从概率论发展的四个时期,古典概率时期、初等概率时期、分析概率时期和高等概率时期,阐述概率论的产生历程和发展背景,最后通过两个具体案例,简单介绍概率论相关知识在医疗领域的简单应用。Probability theory, as a mathematical discipline that studies the quantitative laws of random phenomena, has now formed a complete theoretical system after more than 300 years of tortuous development. This paper discusses the process of the origin and development of probability theory from four periods: classical probability, elementary probability, analytical probability, and high probability. Finally we briefly introduce some simple applications in the fields of medical treatment by two examples.

关 键 词：概率论的发展 贝叶斯公式 核酸检测 中心极限定理 新冠mRNA疫苗 

分 类 号：G63[文化科学—教育学]