Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccine Doses in Children: Case of Lake Region Economic Bloc-Kenya  

作　　者：Shem Otoi Sam Naomy Onyuka Michael Audi Khama Rogo Shem Otoi Sam;Naomy Onyuka;Michael Audi;Khama Rogo(Senior Scientist Lake Region Economic Bloc Kenya, Kisumu, Kenya;Lake Region Economic Bloc researcher, Kisumu, Kenya;Chair Lake Region Economic Bloc COVID-19 Advisory Committee, Kisumu, Kenya)

机构地区：[1]Senior Scientist Lake Region Economic Bloc Kenya, Kisumu, Kenya [2]Lake Region Economic Bloc researcher, Kisumu, Kenya [3]Chair Lake Region Economic Bloc COVID-19 Advisory Committee, Kisumu, Kenya

出　　处：《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》2023年第3期88-97,共10页建模与仿真（英文）

摘　　要：Introduction: Vaccination of children has experienced delays due to paucity of information regarding safety, effectiveness, immunogenicity, and reactogenicity. Age wise approval prioritized 12 - 17 years and later 5 - 11 years. Those below 5 years possess na?ve immunity and not considered. In Lake Region Economic Bloc children aged 12 - 17 variably received 1, 2, and 3 doses of vaccine. This analysis looks into effectiveness of the doses administered. Method: Data providers from 84 LREB facilities submitted patients’ vaccination data to Power BI supported dashboard between June 24, 2021 and July 30, 2022. Data of 12 - 17 years old was mined, analyzed and visualized. Sample sizes considered for analysis were 0 dose, n = 8132;1 dose, n = 271;2 doses, n = 402, and 3 doses, n = 90. Data used in the analysis was facility operational and not from experimental design. Relative risk analysis of children who received 0, 1, 2, and 3 doses was done using Odds Ratio run on R software. Results: The relative risk of infection to a child with one dose against unvaccinated counterpart is 0.92 (95% CI, 0.61 - 1.43). Likewise the relative risk of infection to a child aged 12 - 17 years with 2 doses against another who received no dose is 0.87 (95% CI, 0.63 - 1.24). A child with 3 doses is 46% (95% CI, 27% - 84%) less likely to get infected compared to another not vaccinated. Also, the relative risk between having 2 doses and 1 dose for a child aged 12 - 17 years is 0.95 (95% CI, 0.55 - 1.6). For the same age group the relative risk of having 3 doses of vaccines against 1 dose is 51% (95% CI, 26% - 100%). In addition, a child who receives 3 doses of vaccine is 53% (95% CI, 28% - 100%) less likely to experience breakthrough infection compared to another with 2 doses. Whereas 1^st dose offers (5%) marginal protection advantage over the 2^nd dose, the 3r dose offers 49% and 47% more protection over 1^st and 2^nd doses, respectively, because of incremental reduced risk of infection gained from Introduction: Vaccination of children has experienced delays due to paucity of information regarding safety, effectiveness, immunogenicity, and reactogenicity. Age wise approval prioritized 12 - 17 years and later 5 - 11 years. Those below 5 years possess na?ve immunity and not considered. In Lake Region Economic Bloc children aged 12 - 17 variably received 1, 2, and 3 doses of vaccine. This analysis looks into effectiveness of the doses administered. Method: Data providers from 84 LREB facilities submitted patients’ vaccination data to Power BI supported dashboard between June 24, 2021 and July 30, 2022. Data of 12 - 17 years old was mined, analyzed and visualized. Sample sizes considered for analysis were 0 dose, n = 8132;1 dose, n = 271;2 doses, n = 402, and 3 doses, n = 90. Data used in the analysis was facility operational and not from experimental design. Relative risk analysis of children who received 0, 1, 2, and 3 doses was done using Odds Ratio run on R software. Results: The relative risk of infection to a child with one dose against unvaccinated counterpart is 0.92 (95% CI, 0.61 - 1.43). Likewise the relative risk of infection to a child aged 12 - 17 years with 2 doses against another who received no dose is 0.87 (95% CI, 0.63 - 1.24). A child with 3 doses is 46% (95% CI, 27% - 84%) less likely to get infected compared to another not vaccinated. Also, the relative risk between having 2 doses and 1 dose for a child aged 12 - 17 years is 0.95 (95% CI, 0.55 - 1.6). For the same age group the relative risk of having 3 doses of vaccines against 1 dose is 51% (95% CI, 26% - 100%). In addition, a child who receives 3 doses of vaccine is 53% (95% CI, 28% - 100%) less likely to experience breakthrough infection compared to another with 2 doses. Whereas 1^st dose offers (5%) marginal protection advantage over the 2^nd dose, the 3r dose offers 49% and 47% more protection over 1^st and 2^nd doses, respectively, because of incremental reduced risk of infection gained from

关 键 词：Children Vaccination Doses EFFECTIVENESS 

分 类 号：R57[医药卫生—消化系统]