This research was supported in part by a National Institutes of Health/National Institute of General Medical Sciences Grant(https://www.nih.gov/,U54 GM111274);in part by the Mathematical Biosciences Institute and the National Science Foundation under grant DMS 1440386.
As polio-endemic countries move towards elimination,infrequent first infections and incomplete surveillance make it difficult to determine when the virus has been eliminated from the population.Eichner and Dietz[Ameri...
We thank the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for support for this work under grant OPP1129391.
Background:Silent circulation of polioviruses complicates the polio endgame and motivates analyses that explore the probability of undetected circulation for different scenarios.A recent analysis suggested a relativel...