中国成都大熊猫繁育研究基地大熊猫种群发展的预测研究  

PREDICTION ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE POPULATION OF THE GIANT PANDA IN CHENGDU RESEARCH BASE OF GIANT PANDA BREEDING

作　　者：郭瑞海[1,2] 袁晓凤[1,2] 李光汉 

机构地区：[1]西南民族学院数学系 [2]中科院成都计算所数理室 [3]中国成都大熊猫繁育研究基地

出　　处：《大自然探索》1997年第2期74-77,共4页Discovery of Nature

基　　金：四川省重点科技项目

摘　　要：本文介绍了单种群按年龄结构分布的莱斯利（Ｌｅｓｌｉｅ）模型，并用于中国成都大熊猫繁育研究基地圈养大熊猫种群的动态研究，预测其发展趋势。The Leslie model of the distribution of the age groups about one population is introduced,which has been applied to the study of the population dynamics of the giant pandas in Chengdu Research Base of Giant Panda Breeding and prediction of the change of the age structure.Some good ideas for construction of the third phase project of the Research Base are presented.These ideas are important in achieving the ultimate aim of enabling the offsprings bred in artificial breeding to return to its original habitat.

关 键 词：莱斯利矩阵 种群 大熊猫 年龄结构 生殖率 生存率 

分 类 号：Q959.838[生物学—动物学]