消费心理预期与股票涨跌关系的初步研究  

A Study on the Relationship of Consumer Psychological Expectation with the Rise and Fall of the Stock

作　　者：石文典[1] 肖余春[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学心理研究所,杭州310035 [2]杭州商学院工商管理学院,杭州310035

出　　处：《心理科学》2004年第4期986-989,共4页Journal of Psychological Science

基　　金：宁夏自治区高校科研项目资助

摘　　要：在间隔两个月重复测试我国城市居民消费心理预期水准的基础上 ,采用交叉滞后相关法 (CLPC)研究了消费心理预期水准与股票涨跌幅之间的关系 ,发现 :消费心理预期是导致股票涨跌的主要因素 ,从而证明消费心理预期是影响消费需求的重要因素。The relationship between consumer psychological expectation and the rise and fall of stock was studied with the method of cross lagged panel correlation based on the level of consumer psychological expectation obtained through repeated measurements of citizens in different cities every two months. The result showed that consumer psychological expectation was the main factor that caused the rise and fall of the stock, which then proved that consumer psychological expectation is an important factor that influences consumer demand.

关 键 词：消费心理预期 股票价格 交叉滞后相关法 证券市场 

分 类 号：C912.6[经济管理]