T_(42)和EC产品在安徽5─7月暴雨落区预报中的应用  

THE APPLICATION OF T_(42) AND EC PRODUCT IN THE FORECASTING OF HARD RAIN FALLING RANGE FROM MAY TO JULY IN ANHUI PROVINCE

作　　者：张明玉[1] 袁野[1] 沈伟[1] 杨金锡[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽省气象台

出　　处：《气象科学》1996年第1期96-102,共7页Journal of the Meteorological Sciences

摘　　要：用T42资料进行逐步回归计算，用EC资料作相似分析，分别作安徽梅雨期暴雨的落区预报。经两年试用认为：两种方法综合使用，CSI评分可比上述方法单独使用提高3％─10％。By using the T42 data to do step-by-step regression and using the EC data to do similarity analysis, forecasting of the hard rain falling range during Meiyu-seasson in Anhui province is made. Application in the past two years proves that if both of those methods are used, Ts score will increase by 3% to 10% over that only one method is used

关 键 词：数值预报 降水预报 暴雨落区 T42产品 EC产品 

分 类 号：P457.6[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P456.7