基于GM(1,1)灰色系统的公路货运量预测模型的研究  

A forecasting model of road haulage volume based on GM(1,1)grey system

作　　者：笪秉宏[1] 亓四华[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽机电职业技术学院,安徽芜湖241000

出　　处：《安徽工程科技学院学报（自然科学版）》2007年第2期62-65,共4页Journal of Anhui University of Technology and Science

摘　　要：灰色系统理论已成功运用于工业、农业、经济、能源、交通等领域,利用灰色系统理论建立的我国公路货运量预测模型精度高,计算值和统计值吻合程度较好.根据预测模型计算出的未来几年我国公路货运量对我国汽车工业、能源工业和交通部门都具有较高的参考价值.Grey system theory has been applied in industry, agriculture, economics, energy and communication areas. This paper deals with the volume forecasting of road haulage on grey system theory. The research result shows high precision of the model and good consistence of calculation value with statistical data. The forecast volume of road haulage in the future years is of gerat value to automobile、energy and communication industries.

关 键 词：GM(1 1) 灰色系统 公路货运量 

分 类 号：F272.1[经济管理—企业管理]