石太客运通道内影响旅客选择交通工具的因素分析  

Analysis of Influence Factors for Travel Mode Choice on Shi-Tai Passenger Transport Passage

作　　者：李欢[1] 毛保华[1] 何宇强[1] 丁勇[1] 林琳[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学轨道交通控制与安全国家重点实验室,北京100044

出　　处：《北京交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2008年第2期86-88,共3页Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70173014);铁道部科技开发项目(2005K003)

摘　　要：石太客运专线的建设必将引起通道内旅客出行的旅行时间、旅行速度、方便程度等特性的变化,这将带来石太通道客运结构的改变。对于石太客运通道内旅客选择交通工具影响因素的重要度评判,本文提出基于问卷统计结果及通道内各种交通方式的分担率的层次分析法,对评价指标的选取和处理进行改进,最终确定该通道内旅客出行的方便性重要度最高。这种改进的层次分析法能够准确客观地评价旅客出行的影响因素,避免了一般层次分析法的主观性因素的影响,在评价这种大运量客运通道内的旅客选择出行方式的影响因素评价中具有普遍适用性。The construction of Shi-Tai passenger railway will alter the passenger characters such as travel time, travel speed, convenience degree and bring on the change of the passenger transport structure in this passage. In order to judge these passenger travel factors, the paper puts forward the advanced AHPmethod. It judges the indexes based on the outcome of the questionnaires and the sharing of each travel mode in this passage, and finally gets that the convenience is the most important factor in this passenger transport passage. The method can rank the importance of each factor quantitatively and gets rid of the man-made subjectivity. It can also be widely used in other large passenger transport passages.

关 键 词：出行方式选择 分担率 影响因素 影响程度 

分 类 号：F532.6[经济管理—产业经济]