南黄海6.1级地震后强震活动趋势的初步研究  

PRELIMINARY STUDY ON TREND OF M≥6 EARTHQUAKE AFTER THE NANHUANGHAI M6.1 EARTHQUAKE IN 1996

作　　者：门可佩[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京气象学院

出　　处：《西北地震学报》1999年第1期107-109,共3页Northwestern Seismological Journal

摘　　要：根据江苏南黄海地区（３１°～３５°Ｎ，１１９°～１２３．５°Ｅ）１５００～１９９６年Ｍ≥６强震资料，应用有序性分析、可公度性分析等方法，对１９９６年南黄海６．１级地震后强震趋势进行了跟踪预测研究．结果表明。Based on data of strong earthquakes (M≥6) from 1500 to 1996 in Jiangsu Nanhuanghai region, the tracing prediction of M≥6earthquakes has been discussed by using the analysis of orderness,commensurability and cluster characters.The results show that the next M≥6 earthquake will probably occur during the period from 2002 to 2003.

关 键 词：南黄海 地震趋势预测 可公度性 强震活动 

分 类 号：P315.5[天文地球—地震学] P315.7[天文地球—固体地球物理学]