基于K线及布林线的房地产市场趋势预测  

Market Trend Forecasting of Real Estate Base on K-line Theory and Bollinger Bands

作　　者：祁神军[1] 万清[1,2] 张云波[1] 

机构地区：[1]华侨大学土木工程学院,福建厦门361021 [2]深圳大学土木工程学院,广东深圳518060

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》2011年第4期622-625,共4页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering

基　　金：国侨办科研基金资助项目(06Q0052);华侨大学高层次人才引进基金资助项目(09BS623)

摘　　要：以K线和布林线为基本工具,提出了直观形象判断和预测房地产市场的周期波动的机理;并以月为基本周期绘制厦门市整体区域和分区房地产市场K线图,结合厦门市宏观经济形势、房地产市场发展状况以及宏观政策,判断和预测厦门市房地产周期波动及价格趋势。实验结果证明,K线与布林线组合的房地产周期波动分析及价格趋势预测是一种有效的研究手段,能够反映房地产周期波动的特征及趋势,是一种值得推广的研究方法。The K-line theory and Bollinger Bands were adopted to analyze and forecast the long-term fluctuation and price trend of real estate.The mechanism of judging the cycle fluctuation and forecasting the price trend of real estate market was analyzed with K-line theory and Bollinger Bands,and then the monthly cycle fluctuation of real estate market in Xiamen City and Huli administrative area were developed,the price trend was also analyzed and forecasted.The experiment results show that it is an effective method to reflect the characteristics of real estate cycle fluctuations and forecast the price trend with the K-line theory and Bollinger Bands.

关 键 词：K线理论 布林线 房地产周期波动 价格趋势预测 厦门市 

分 类 号：F713.54[经济管理—市场营销]