行政区划调整对住宅价格变化的影响效应分析——以南汇并入浦东新区为例  

IMPACT OF ADJUSTMENT OF ADMINISTRATIVE DIVISIONS UPON THE CHANGES OF HOUSING PRICES——THE CASE OF NANHUI DISTRICT MERGED INTO PUDONG NEW AREA

作　　者：石忆邵[1] 徐妍菲[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学测量与国土信息工程系,中国上海200092

出　　处：《经济地理》2011年第9期1452-1457,1482,共7页Economic Geography

摘　　要：行政区划的调整往往是为了适应城市化和区域经济一体化的要求而进行的。除经济和生态环境因素外,住宅价格还受社会、文化和政治等因素的影响和作用,但行政因素对住宅价格变化影响的实证研究并不多见。以上海市南汇区并入浦东新区为例,运用Hedonic模型、多元线性回归分析、半弹性系数等方法,从时间和空间两个方面,定量测度行政区划调整对住宅市场价格变化的影响程度。结果表明:从时间变化上看,行政区划调整以后,浦东新区各板块的住宅均价呈现上涨趋势,住宅价格比调整之前上涨2.74个百分点,且前阶段的涨幅较之后要大;从空间变化上看,外郊环、郊环外涨幅潜力更大。总体而言,行政区划调整对区域住宅价格变化有一定的正面影响,但其影响程度有限且不及区位、交通和住宅特征等因素显著。因此,地方政府和房地产开发商应当理性对待行政区划调整策略,不能过于奢望通过短期的行政区划调整来提升房地产价值,而应当更多地关注开发区位的选址及区域交通和环境条件的改善,提升物业管理水平与服务质量,完善社区公共服务配套设施建设。The adjustment of administrative divisions is often to adapt to urbanization and regional economic integration. Apart from the economic factors and ecological environment, the price of real estates is also closely related to social, political, cultural and other factors. However, such studies on the administrative factors impacting upon the price of housing are relatively rare. This paper takes Nanhui District merged into Pudong New Area as an example, with the help of Hedonic model, multiple linear regression model and semi-elasticity coefficient, aimmed to measuring quantitatively the impacting degree of adjustment of administrative divisions upon the temporal-spatial changes of housing prices. The results show as follows： （1） After the adjustment of administrative divisions, the average housing price of Pudong New Area was upward trend, housing price after the adjustment of Pudong New Area increased by 2.74% than before; （2）The peripheral locations increased faster than the central locations. In general, the adjustment of administrative divisions has positive effect on the change of housing prices, but its influence is not as significant as that of location, transportation and housing characteristics. Therefore, local government and developers of real estates should face rationally the adjustment of administrative divisions, not depend largely on the short-term adjustment of administrative divisions, and pay more attention to selecting developing sites, improving regional traffic conditions and environment, upgrading the level of property management, and perfecting community public services.

关 键 词：行政区划调整 住宅价格 住宅特征 HEDONIC模型 新浦东地区 

分 类 号：F293.35[经济管理—国民经济]