物流产业发展与地区产业结构演变:基于中国省级面板数据的分位数回归  

Evolution of Logistics Industry and Regional Industrial Structure:A Quantile Regression Model Based on Province-level Panel Data of China

作　　者：王红阳[1] 杜丹[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆青年职业技术学院,重庆400712

出　　处：《物流技术》2012年第12期271-273,322,共4页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：基于2001-2010年中国省级面板的分位数回归方法,在0.25、0.5和0.75这三个分位数上对物流产业的产业结构效应进行了实证检验。结果发现,尽管从整体上看物流产业是推动我国产业结构优化与升级的,但不同地区有着截然不同的表现:物流产业的产业结构优化作用在产业结构较高的地区体现的最为显著,其次是产业结构较低的地区。而对于产业结构适中的地区,物流产业结构的发展将可能阻碍产业结构的优化与升级。In this paper, we tested empirically the effect of the logistics industry on industrial structure for the three quantiles of 0.25, 0.5 and 0.75 and found that though from a holistic perspective, the logistics industry promoted the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of China, it realized this in different ways for different regions： this promotional effect was the strongest for regions with relatively high industrial structures and secondly so for regions with relatively low industrial structure, yet for those with appropriate industrial structures, the development of the structure of the logistics industry could pose a hindrance.

关 键 词：物流产业 产业结构 分位数回归 面板数据 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]