我国商品房空置率对房价波动影响的实证研究  

Research on the Financial Accelerator Effect of Real Estate Market in China

作　　者：鞠方[1] 于静静[1] 周建军[1] 

机构地区：[1]湘潭大学商学院,湖南湘潭411105

出　　处：《湖南科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2013年第5期69-74,共6页Journal of Hunan University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71203190);国家社科基金(10BJL018);教育部人文社科规划基金(12YJA790062);中国博士后特别资助金(2012T50697);教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金(教外司留2010【609】号);湖南省教育厅重点项目(11A125)

摘　　要：以住房空置率为切入点,运用2004~2010年中国35个大中城市的相关数据,对我国商品房空置率对房价波动的影响进行分析,结果表明,住房空置率与房价的波动呈正相关关系,可见住房需求同时具有消费性质和投机性质。因此,制定相关的政策措施,增加住房供给,管理购房者预期,打击房地产投机,抑制房地产泡沫,稳定房价,以实现＂居者有其屋＂与＂屋者有其居＂。Based on the housing vacancy rate as the breakthrough point, and by using the data of 35 rele- vant large and medium cities in China during 2004 -2004, commercial housing vacancy rate in China on the fluctuation of prices has been analyzed. Results show that the housing vacancy rate and house price fluctuations are positively correlated, and at the same time the visible speculative housing demand is in the nature of con- sumption. Therefore, it is necessary to formulate related policies and measures to increase housing supply, man- age buyers＇ expectation and crack down on property speculation, restrain the housing bubble, and stablize the prices, in order to achieve that ＂house has its ownership＂ and ＂people have their own house＂.

关 键 词：商品房价格 住房空置率 房价波动 

分 类 号：E52[军事—军事理论] F29[经济管理—国民经济]