生态环境的承载能力是制约人口发展的瓶颈吗?——基于历史分析的视角  

Does Ecological Carrying Capacity Restrict the Development of Population?——Based on the Perspective of Historical Analysis

作　　者：倪国华[1] 丁冬[2] 张璟[2] 喻志军[3] 郑风田[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京工商大学经济学院/北京工商大学中国食品安全研究中心,北京100048 [2]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京100872 [3]中国人民大学继续教育学院,北京100872

出　　处：《林业经济》2014年第6期13-19,共7页Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"社会监管力量与企业行为反应交互作用机理:理论与实证分析--以食品类企业为例"(编号:71173225);北京社会科学基金项目"通过发展社区支持农业(CSA)推动首都生态环境保护的路径与政策研究"(编号:13JGB116);中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目"撤点并校:整合教育资源还是减少教育投入"(编号:14XNH079)

摘　　要：借由历史分析的视角,对春秋战国以来生态环境的承载能力与人口发展的关系进行梳理,结果发现:春秋战国以来,"民过地"的周期性压力导致"边际土地"不断被开垦,粮食安全的周期性危机逐步转化为生态环境的周期性危机,而生态环境危机又成为制约人口发展的瓶颈。粮食周期性短缺与生态环境周期性恶化相伴而生,成为制约我国人口增长的瓶颈性条件。From the perspective of historical analysis, this paper sorts out the relationship between the carrying capacity of ecological environment and the population growth since the Spring and Autumn dynasty. Results showed that： since the Spring and Autumn period, the cyclical pressures of ＂more people than the earth＂ lead to the ＂marginal lands＂ constantly being reclaimed, and the cyclical crisis of food security gradually transformed into periodic crises of ecological environment, then the ecological crisis has become a bottleneck restricting the development of the population. As a result, the periodically food shortages and ecological environment deterioration attendantly become a bottleneck restricting China＇s population growth.

关 键 词：人口发展 生态安全 边际垦殖 历史分析 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学] C924.2[社会学—人口学]