沈阳市城市效应对气温的影响及气温预报方法  

Effects of Urban Heat Island on Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature and Research of Statistical Forecast Models in Shenyang

作　　者：孙凤华[1] 班显秀[1] 张文兴[2] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳区域气象中心研究所,110015 [2]沈阳市气象局

出　　处：《气象》2001年第9期35-38,共4页Meteorological Monthly

基　　金：辽宁省自然科学技术基金资助

摘　　要：根据沈阳市城区与观象台 (郊区 )的同步观测资料 ,分析了两地日最高最低温差的变化规律 ,并与前期的气象要素进行相关分析 ,揭示出由于气象条件的变化所造成的城郊温差的不规则变化 ,采用逐步回归方法建立了沈阳市日最高最低温度的预报方程 。By the synchronization observation data of the urban area and meteorological observation station(outskirts) in Shenyang,the changing law of temperature difference of daily maximum and minimum temperature and the correlation with meteorological factor were analyzed. The abnormal change of temperature difference between urban area and outskirts was shown. The regresson forecast equations of daily maximum and minimum temperature were given.The verification proved that it has a better predictive effect.

关 键 词：气象因子 统计预报 沈阳市 城市热岛效应 气温预报 

分 类 号：X16[环境科学与工程—环境科学] P457.3[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]