长春市空气污染潜势预报的统计模型研究  

Statistical Models for Air Pollution Potential Forecasting in Changchun City

作　　者：刘实[1] 王宁[1] 朱其文[1] 王新国[1] 胡中明[1] 陈长胜[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉林省气象台,长春130062

出　　处：《气象》2002年第1期8-12,共5页Meteorological Monthly

基　　金：吉林省气象局"长春市空气污染气象条件预报方法的研究"课题的资助

摘　　要：通过分析TSP污染指数与气象条件的关系 ,特别是一些非线性关系 ,建立了长春市空气污染潜势预报统计模型 ,借助T1 0 6及日本数值预报产品进行试报 。By analyzing the relationship between the air pollution index of TSP and meteorological condition over Changchun city, including nonlinear correlation,the statistical models for air pollution potential forecasting were developed These models were used based on some numerical weather prediction products such as T106 etc ,and the forecasting effect was satisfactory

关 键 词：空气污染潜势预报 长春市 统计模型 非线性 气象条件 总悬浮颗粒物 数值预报 

分 类 号：X16[环境科学与工程—环境科学] P457[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]