住房供求、地方政府行为与房地产市场调控有效性研究  

RESEARCH ON HOUSING SUPPLY AND DEMAND,LOCAL GOVERNMENT BEHAVIOR AND THE EFFICIENCY OF REAL ESTATE MARKET REGULATION

作　　者：陈建东[1] 程树磊[1] 姚涛[2] 

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学财政税务学院,成都611130 [2]重庆邮电大学经济管理学院,重庆400065

出　　处：《经济理论与经济管理》2014年第9期72-84,共13页Economic Theory and Business Management

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费年度培养项目(重点)(JBK130952);国家社科基金项目(12XJY026)

摘　　要：近年来有关房地产市场调控的政策措施不断出台,然而其调控效果却不尽如人意。本文选用全国40个大中城市的相关数据,通过建立市级面板数据模型对住房供求、地方政府行为以及房地产市场调控有效性之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明,政府对房地产市场调控的效果差强人意,除了住房市场供求状况影响房价变化外,地方政府行为对房地产市场价格的波动也有很大的影响。此外,研究显示推进新型城镇化不会造成房价的显著波动。基于实证结果,笔者从继续推进新型城镇化建设和增强地方政府财力等两个方面给出了政策建议。Although the government have taken measures, the efficiency of real estate market regula- tion is not obvious in recent years. This paper applied the related data from Chinese 40 cities and the munic- ipal panel data model to analyze housing supply and demand, local government behavior and their influence on the real estate market. The results were shown as follows： the Chinese government had little positive effect on the housing market. Compared to the market power, the local government power was vital. Be- sides, the urbanization wouldn＇t impact on the housing price. Based on the conclusion above, this paper provided some suggestions about pressing ahead with new-type urbanization and strengthening local finan- cial resources.

关 键 词：房地产市场调控 房价波动 住房供求 地方政府行为 新型城镇化 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]