城镇洪水灾害预警模型仿真研究  

STUDY OF SIMULATION FORECASTING MODEL OF URBAN DISASTER EMERGENCY EQUIPMENT

作　　者：李振平[1] 黄玉钏[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家安全生产监督管理总局通信信息中心,北京100013

出　　处：《工业建筑》2016年第6期5-7,共3页Industrial Construction

基　　金："十二五"国家科技支撑计划课题(2015BAK14B03)

摘　　要：我国城镇洪水灾害问题越来越突出,建立科学、有效、简单的城镇洪水灾害预警模型,对防治城镇洪水灾害具有重要的意义。基于模糊控制的方法对城镇洪水灾害预警模型中模型的输入(由自然条件、城市的排水系统能力、人为干预因素组成),模型的输出(城镇洪水预警值)进行研究。利用MATLAB模糊控制工具箱,对城镇洪水灾害预警模型进行计算仿真。结果表明:模型可以很好地对城镇洪水灾害进行预测,从而从理论上解决城镇洪水灾害难以定量预测的难题。The problem of urban flood disaster in China is becoming more and more serious. Establishing a scientific,effective and simple warning model of urban flood disaster has important significance to the prevention and control of urban flood disaster. This paper studied the early warning model of urban flood disaster based on fuzzy control,and the input of the model was composed of natural conditions,urban drainage system capacity and human intervention factors,and the output of the model was the warning value of urban flood. In this paper,the warning model of urban flood disaster was calculated using the MATLAB fuzzy control toolbox. The simulation results showed that the model could predict the urban flood disaster. The method presented in this paper can solve the problem of quantitative forecast of urban flood disaster.

关 键 词：城镇洪水灾害 隶属函数 模糊控制 

分 类 号：TU998.4[建筑科学—市政工程]