国内外技术预见研究现状分析——基于文献计量学视角  

The Analysis of Technology Foresight Research in China and Abroad-Based on Biblio-metrics

作　　者：任海英[1] 于立婷[1] 王菲菲[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2016年第14期254-261,共8页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：北京市自然科学基金预探索项目"发明过程和机理的概念地图表示研究"(9153020);国家社科基金青年项目"基于多维信息计量分析的学术影响力综合评价研究"(15CTQ023)

摘　　要：采用文献计量和知识可视化方法,以国外Web of science和国内CNKI数据库中技术预见研究的文献为数据来源,从宏观、中观、微观三个层面对国内外技术预见研究现状进行定量和定性分析,将熵权法用于该领域主要研究国家和作者的学术影响力的综合评价,并揭示该领域国家间合作情况,分析国内外技术预见研究内容的异同,为国内技术预见研究提供参考。Taking Web of Science and China Academic Journal Network Publishing Database （CNKI） as data sources, this article conducts both quantitative and qualitative analyses of the papers in the field of technology foresight with statistical analysis and knowledge visualization method, and the entropy coefficient method is applied to the comprehensive evaluation of the academic influence of the country and the author in this field, revealing the cooperation between the main countries in this field. In addition, we also analyze the differences of technology foresight research contents between home and abroad, and give references for the research of domestic technology foresight.

关 键 词：技术预见 文献计量 熵权 知识可视化 

分 类 号：G353.1[文化科学—情报学] G321