河北省雾霾污染的空间分布及其影响因素的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of Haze Pollution and Its Influence Factors in Hebei Province

作　　者：回莹[1] 毛培[1] 戴宏伟[1] Hui Ying, Mao Pei, Dai Hongwei(School of Economics ,Central University of Finance and Economics ,Beijing 100081, Chin)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学经济学院,北京100081

出　　处：《经济与管理》2018年第3期65-71,共7页Economy and Management

基　　金：河北经贸大学京津冀一体化发展协同创新中心招标项目(2014ZBXM03);中央财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目(201511);河北省创新能力提升计划软科学研究及科普专项项目(18457622D)

摘　　要：基于河北省11个地级市2000—2012年的PM2.5数据,研究发现雾霾污染具有显著的正空间相关性,并呈现出高浓度值与高浓度值聚集、低浓度值与低浓度值聚集的空间分布特征。选取两种空间权重矩阵,通过构建空间杜宾模型,研究发现:河北省雾霾污染具有明显的空间溢出效应,并具有一定的连续性和"警示效应";河北省的产业结构和城镇化水平对雾霾污染具有正效应关系;实际人均GDP、外商直接投资、对外贸易依存度、公路里程等变量均对河北省雾霾污染具有不同程度的效应影响。Based on the PM2.5 data of 11 prefecture-level cities in Hebei province from 2000 to 2012,it is found that haze pollution had a significant positive spatial correlation, and presented the spatial distribution characteristics of high-high and low-low agglomeration.Two the spatial weight matrices are selected to construct the spatial Durbin model,it is found that the haze pollution in Hebei province had obvious spatial spillover effect, had certain continuity and ＂warning effect＂; the industrial structure and urbanization level of Hebei province had positive effect on haze pollution;the real GDP per capita,FDI,dependence on foreign trade,road mileage and other variables had different effects on haze pollution in Hebei province.

关 键 词：河北省雾霾污染 空间分布 影响因素 实证分析 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]